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Maryland vs. N Carolina

  Friday Mar 9, 2012 - 12:00 pm - Atlanta, GA (Neutral Site) | Odds: North Carolina by 14.5, Total Points: 152 | Team Pages: UMD | UNC

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMD UNC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting UMD UNC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 67.3
Field Goal % 35.9% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 50.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.0% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 26.2% 27.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 34.5 21.9
Free Throw % 74.5% 71.6%

Ball Control UMD UNC
Rebounds 37.9 43.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 18.3
Turnovers 12.1 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.2
Steals 3.4 6.2
Fouls 15.4 21.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMD UNC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with UMD UNC
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 54.9%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 18.2%
Player Fouled 29.4% 21.4%
Turnover 16.7% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 4.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken UMD UNC
Shot Blocked 7.8% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 34.4% 42.6%