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2026 FIFA World Cup Simulator

100,000 Monte Carlo simulations based on current team ratings

TableGroup MatchesBy DayKnockoutAdvancementPre-TournamentMarket OddsWhat If
Group A
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
Mexico100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%9.0
Korea Republic0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%3.0
South Africa0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%4.0
Czechia0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%1.0
Group B
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
Switzerland100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%7.0
Qatar0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%1.0
Canada0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%4.0
Bosnia and Herzegovina0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%100.0%4.0
Group C
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
Brazil100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%7.0
Haiti0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0
Morocco0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%7.0
Scotland0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%3.0
Group D
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
United States100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%6.0
Turkey0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%3.0
Paraguay0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%100.0%4.0
Australia0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%4.0
Group E
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
Germany100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%6.0
Curacao0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%1.0
Ecuador0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%100.0%4.0
Cote d'Ivoire0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%6.0
Group F
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
Netherlands100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%7.0
Japan0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%5.0
Sweden0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%100.0%4.0
Tunisia0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0
Group G
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
Belgium100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%5.0
Iran0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%3.0
Egypt0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%5.0
New Zealand0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%1.0
Group H
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
Spain100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%7.0
Uruguay0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%2.0
Cabo Verde0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%3.0
Saudi Arabia0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%2.0
Group I
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
France100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%9.0
Iraq0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0
Norway0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%6.0
Senegal0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%100.0%3.0
Group J
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
Argentina100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%9.0
Jordan0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0
Algeria0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%100.0%4.0
Austria0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%4.0
Group K
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
Colombia100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%7.0
DR Congo0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%100.0%4.0
Portugal0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%5.0
Uzbekistan0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0
Group L
Team1st2nd3rd4thAdv.Pts
England100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%7.0
Ghana0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%100.0%4.0
Panama0.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0
Croatia0.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%100.0%6.0

Based on 50,000 Monte Carlo simulations | Last updated July 13, 2026