Washington at New York: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jun 14, 2026 3:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 13.5, Total Points: 167.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS NYL
Points 80.8 84.2
Total Points   165.0
Points From 2-Pointers 45.8 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 26.0
Points From Free Throws 16.1 17.9
Shooting WAS NYL
Field Goals Made 29.2 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 67.7 64.7
Field Goal % 43.1% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 46.8 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.0% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 16.1 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 20.8
Free Throw % 71.8% 86.0%
Ball Control WAS NYL
Rebounds 40.5 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 8.3
Turnovers 13.1 13.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.5
Steals 5.3 7.4
Fouls 19.9 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS NYL
Total Possessions 83.0
Effective Scoring Chances 81.4 77.5
% of Possessions with WAS NYL
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 30.4%
Player Fouled 23.8% 24.0%
Turnover 15.8% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS NYL
Shot Blocked 7.0% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 22.2%