Phoenix at Portland: Box Score Simulation

Friday Jun 5, 2026 10:00 pm - Portland, OR
Odds: Portland by 4.5, Total Points: 159.5

Matchup Menu: PHX @ PDX

More Games From Jun 5, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHX PDX
Points 84.4 85.2
Total Points   169.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.8 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 33.6
Points From Free Throws 18.7 13.4
Shooting PHX PDX
Field Goals Made 29.0 30.3
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 65.4
Field Goal % 45.6% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 30.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 18.7 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 16.4
Free Throw % 78.7% 81.8%
Ball Control PHX PDX
Rebounds 37.9 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 8.0
Turnovers 13.2 14.4
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.7
Steals 7.6 6.9
Fouls 15.8 20.4

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHX PDX
Total Possessions 81.8
Effective Scoring Chances 78.0 75.4
% of Possessions with PHX PDX
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 33.0%
Player Fouled 24.9% 19.3%
Turnover 16.2% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHX PDX
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 22.0%