NFL Odds Movement
Results Based on Overall Line Movement
| Overall Line Movement of 3+ Toward Favorite | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening Line | # Games | Opening Fav Record | Cover % |
| Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 | 27 | 12-15-0 | 44.4% |
| Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 | 79 | 32-46-1 | 41.0% |
| Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 | 34 | 18-16-0 | 52.9% |
| Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 | 37 | 16-17-4 | 48.5% |
| Opening Favorite of 14+ | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% |
| Total | 179 | 79-95-5 | 45.4% |
| Overall Line Movement of 2 or 2.5 Toward Favorite | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening Line | # Games | Opening Fav Record | Cover % |
| Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 | 77 | 37-34-6 | 52.1% |
| Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 | 143 | 67-73-3 | 47.9% |
| Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 | 83 | 38-43-2 | 46.9% |
| Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 | 36 | 15-21-0 | 41.7% |
| Opening Favorite of 14+ | 12 | 8-3-1 | 72.7% |
| Total | 351 | 165-174-12 | 48.7% |
| Overall Line Movement of 0.5 to 1.5 Toward Favorite | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening Line | # Games | Opening Fav Record | Cover % |
| Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 | 369 | 169-178-22 | 48.7% |
| Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 | 643 | 325-307-11 | 51.4% |
| Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 | 193 | 84-107-2 | 44.0% |
| Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 | 117 | 62-54-1 | 53.4% |
| Opening Favorite of 14+ | 21 | 12-8-1 | 60.0% |
| Total | 1343 | 652-654-37 | 49.9% |
| Closing Line Same As Opening Line | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening Line | # Games | Opening Fav Record | Cover % |
| Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 | 199 | 90-107-2 | 45.7% |
| Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 | 547 | 262-267-18 | 49.5% |
| Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 | 169 | 87-80-2 | 52.1% |
| Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 | 71 | 36-34-1 | 51.4% |
| Opening Favorite of 14+ | 22 | 7-15-0 | 31.8% |
| Total | 1008 | 482-503-23 | 48.9% |
| Overall Line Movement of 0.5 to 1.5 Toward Underdog | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening Line | # Games | Opening Fav Record | Cover % |
| Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 | 127 | 60-66-1 | 47.6% |
| Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 | 699 | 337-344-18 | 49.5% |
| Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 | 268 | 127-133-8 | 48.8% |
| Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 | 138 | 60-73-5 | 45.1% |
| Opening Favorite of 14+ | 37 | 15-22-0 | 40.5% |
| Total | 1269 | 599-638-32 | 48.4% |
| Overall Line Movement of 2.0 to 2.5 Toward Underdog | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening Line | # Games | Opening Fav Record | Cover % |
| Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 | 95 | 49-44-2 | 52.7% |
| Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 | 194 | 91-100-3 | 47.6% |
| Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 | 88 | 42-44-2 | 48.8% |
| Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 | 32 | 19-13-0 | 59.4% |
| Opening Favorite of 14+ | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% |
| Total | 411 | 201-203-7 | 49.8% |
| Overall Line Movement of 3+ Toward Underdog | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opening Line | # Games | Opening Fav Record | Cover % |
| Opening Favorite of 1-2.5 | 181 | 90-89-2 | 50.3% |
| Opening Favorite of 3-6.5 | 83 | 37-41-5 | 47.4% |
| Opening Favorite of 7-9.5 | 25 | 12-13-0 | 48.0% |
| Opening Favorite of 10-13.5 | 31 | 11-18-2 | 37.9% |
| Opening Favorite of 14+ | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% |
| Total | 322 | 151-162-9 | 48.2% |