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Houston at Pittsburgh: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Jan 12, 2026 8:15 pm - Pittsburgh, PA
Odds: Houston by 3, Total Points: 38

Matchup Menu: HOU @ PIT

More Games From Wild Card

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 38.0	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go over
Over 38.0	Decision Tree	54% odds to go over
Under 38.0	Similar Games	53% odds to go under

NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	HOU	PIT
Season	7-11-1	9-8-1
vs Division	2-4-0	3-3-0
vs Conference	5-9-0	4-8-1
Streak	Ov 1	Un 1
Last 5	3-2-0	2-2-1
Last 10	4-6-0	4-5-1
Home	4-4-1	3-5-1
Away	3-7-0	6-3-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Houston Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/07	Away	LA Rams	43.0	9-14	Under	-20.0
09/15	Home	Tampa Bay	42.5	19-20	Under	-3.5
09/21	Away	Jacksonville	43.0	10-17	Under	-16.0
09/28	Home	Tennessee	40.0	26-0	Under	-14.0
10/05	Away	Baltimore	41.5	44-10	Over	+12.5
10/20	Away	Seattle	41.5	19-27	Over	+4.5
10/26	Home	San Francisco	41.0	26-15	Push	0.0
11/02	Home	Denver	41.0	15-18	Under	-8.0
11/09	Home	Jacksonville	38.0	36-29	Over	+27.0
11/16	Away	Tennessee	37.0	16-13	Under	-8.0
11/20	Home	Buffalo	44.0	23-19	Under	-2.0
11/30	Away	Indianapolis	44.5	20-16	Under	-8.5
12/07	Away	Kansas City	41.5	20-10	Under	-11.5
12/14	Home	Arizona	42.0	40-20	Over	+18.0
12/21	Home	Las Vegas	39.5	23-21	Over	+4.5
12/27	Away	LA Chargers	41.0	20-16	Under	-5.0
01/04	Home	Indianapolis	37.5	38-30	Over	+30.5
01/12	Away	Pittsburgh	38.0	30-6	Under	-2.0
01/18	Away	New England	41.0	16-28	Over	+3.0

Pittsburgh Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/07	Away	NY Jets	38.0	34-32	Over	+28.0
09/14	Home	Seattle	40.5	17-31	Over	+7.5
09/21	Away	New England	44.0	21-14	Under	-9.0
09/28	Neutral	Minnesota	41.5	24-21	Over	+3.5
10/12	Home	Cleveland	37.5	23-9	Under	-5.5
10/16	Away	Cincinnati	45.0	31-33	Over	+19.0
10/26	Home	Green Bay	46.0	25-35	Over	+14.0
11/02	Home	Indianapolis	52.0	27-20	Under	-5.0
11/09	Away	LA Chargers	46.0	10-25	Under	-11.0
11/16	Home	Cincinnati	47.5	34-12	Under	-1.5
11/23	Away	Chicago	46.5	28-31	Over	+12.5
11/30	Home	Buffalo	44.0	7-26	Under	-11.0
12/07	Away	Baltimore	44.0	27-22	Over	+5.0
12/15	Home	Miami	43.0	28-15	Push	0.0
12/21	Away	Detroit	52.0	29-24	Over	+1.0
12/28	Away	Cleveland	34.5	6-13	Under	-15.5
01/04	Home	Baltimore	41.5	26-24	Over	+8.5
01/12	Home	Houston	38.0	6-30	Under	-2.0