Houston at Pittsburgh: Recap
Monday Jan 12, 2026 8:15 pm -
Pittsburgh, PA
Odds:
Houston by 3,
Total Points:
38
Matchup Menu: HOU @ PIT
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | HOU | 57.1% | ||
| PIT | 42.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT +3.0 | HOU | 47.3% | ||
| PIT | 52.7% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 38.0 | Over | 53.5% | ||
| Under | 46.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT +138 | HOU | -4.1% | ||
| PIT | +0.9% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 21.3 | 20 | 20.5 | 30 |
| PIT | 18.5 | 17 | 17.5 | 6 |
NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | HOU | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.3 |
| Points/Play | 0.347 | 0.360 |
| Rush Play % | 36.91% | 35.06% |
| Pass Play % | 63.09% | 64.94% |
| Completion % | 63.98% | 59.14% |
| 3D Conv % | 37.88% | 32.79% |
| RZ Scoring % | 55.56% | 54.55% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | HOU | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.5 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.358 | 0.367 |
| Opp Completion % | 67.23% | 64.56% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 37.50% | 32.79% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 58.33% | 50.00% |