Houston at New England: Point Spread Line Movement

Sunday Sep 9, 2018 1:00 pm - Foxborough, MA
Odds: New England by 6.5, Total Points: 49.5

NE -6.5 Open -6.5 High -7.0
Last -6.0 Low -6.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2013 NFL season there have been 219 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:

  • The team like New England won the game 154 times (70.3%)
  • The team like Houston won the game 63 times (28.8%)
  • The team like Houston did better against the spread, going 112-99-8 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2015 NFL season there have been 237 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like New England did better against the spread, going 113-109-15 (50.9% ATS).

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -6.0 -6.5 -6.0
Open -7.0 -6.5 -6.5
History
09/09 01:05 PM -- -6.5 --
09/09 12:46 PM -6.0 -- --
09/09 12:37 PM -6.5 -- --
09/09 11:54 AM -6.5 -- --
09/09 11:45 AM -- -- -6.0
09/09 11:38 AM -- -6.5 --
09/09 11:00 AM -6.5 -- --
09/09 09:05 AM -6.5 -- --
09/09 09:04 AM -- -6.5 --
09/09 06:23 AM -6.0 -- --
09/08 02:44 PM -6.0 -- --
09/07 08:45 AM -- -- -6.0
09/06 07:16 PM -6.0 -- --
09/06 05:55 PM -6.0 -- --
09/06 05:03 PM -6.0 -- --
09/05 07:36 PM -- -- -6.0
09/05 06:33 PM -6.0 -- --
09/05 03:05 PM -- -- -6.5
09/05 05:35 AM -- -- -6.0
09/04 05:35 PM -- -- -6.5
09/04 11:06 AM -6.0 -- --
09/04 10:33 AM -6.0 -- --
09/03 07:08 PM -6.0 -- --
09/03 02:15 PM -- -- -6.0
09/03 08:45 AM -- -- -6.0
09/01 08:55 AM -- -- -6.0
08/29 12:14 PM -6.5 -- --
08/29 11:54 AM -6.5 -- --
08/27 10:53 AM -7.0 -- --
08/08 08:35 AM -- -6.5 --
07/16 06:47 PM -- -- -6.5
07/02 03:03 PM -7.0 -- --