Baltimore at Pittsburgh
The chart above graphs odds data from Pinnacle Sports
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2006 NFL season there have been 342 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Pittsburgh won the game 185 times (54.1%)
- The team like Baltimore won the game 157 times (45.9%)
- The team like Baltimore did better against the spread, going 189-137-16 (58.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2008 NFL season there have been 242 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baltimore did better against the spread, going 119-113-10 (51.3% ATS).