Jacksonville at Carolina : Similar Games Analysis

Sunday Sep 25, 2011 1:00 pm - Charlotte, NC
Odds: Carolina by 3.5, Total Points: 42.5

Jacksonville (Away) Carolina (Home)
Win Odds 35.8% 64.2%
Spread +3.5 -3.5
Cover Odds 48.2% 51.8%
Proj Score 17.1 23.3

Sim Score Date Away Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Projection Home Team Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
09/25/11 Jacksonville 24.0 21.7 -13.5 35.8% 64.2% Carolina 9.7 17.7 -7.0
 
Team Like Jacksonville Team Like Carolina
# Sim Score Date Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin Score Name Overall Power Rtg Predictive Power Rtg Avg Score Margin
1 23.2 09/23/07 Minnesota 19.4 24.8 +9.0 10 13 Kansas City 19.9 20.7 -13.5
2 25.2 09/26/04 Cleveland 21.5 24.0 +5.0 10 27 NY Giants 17.3 19.6 -4.0
3 26.8 11/01/09 Jacksonville 23.2 21.5 -4.5 13 30 Tennessee 11.7 17.0 -19.0
4 28.1 10/10/10 Jacksonville 19.9 19.8 -10.0 36 26 Buffalo 9.1 16.3 -16.0
5 28.6 09/12/11 Oakland 21.1 23.2 -1.1 23 20 Denver 11.5 15.8 -11.1
6 31.1 10/15/06 Buffalo 24.0 23.5 -5.6 17 20 Detroit 8.5 18.0 -10.6
7 32.2 09/14/03 Cleveland 24.1 24.9 -3.0 13 33 Baltimore 20.4 21.5 -19.0
8 33.0 10/02/05 Dallas 33.0 26.8 +2.0 13 19 Oakland 15.1 24.2 -6.3
9 33.8 09/20/09 Oakland 18.5 21.8 -4.0 13 10 Kansas City 12.6 18.8 -14.0
10 33.8 09/12/04 Jacksonville 25.3 25.6 +0.6 13 10 Buffalo 20.4 23.0 -3.9
11 33.9 09/11/05 Green Bay 21.8 22.7 +0.6 3 17 Detroit 14.7 20.0 -3.4
12 33.9 09/27/04 Dallas 24.7 23.4 -5.5 21 18 Washington 18.7 22.3 0.0
13 34.6 10/09/05 New Orleans 24.6 23.0 -4.8 3 52 Green Bay 11.2 21.7 -5.0
14 34.8 09/17/06 NY Giants 24.3 25.7 -5.0 30 24 Philadelphia 21.5 23.6 +14.0
15 35.0 09/20/09 Arizona 29.1 28.1 -4.0 31 17 Jacksonville 16.7 22.1 -2.0
16 35.0 09/25/05 New Orleans 32.7 28.5 -7.0 16 33 Minnesota 14.9 19.1 -20.0
17 35.3 09/12/04 Tampa Bay 24.0 26.2 -1.4 10 16 Washington 15.8 20.2 -7.0
18 35.7 09/07/03 Atlanta 30.8 29.3 -0.7 27 13 Dallas 17.1 19.2 -10.3
19 36.0 09/10/07 Arizona 22.7 22.7 +0.6 17 20 San Francisco 23.8 22.2 -3.6
20 36.0 09/26/10 Tennessee 25.9 24.7 +8.5 29 10 NY Giants 20.1 20.0 -5.5
21 36.2 09/18/05 Detroit 19.9 23.1 +14.0 6 38 Chicago 11.7 18.4 -2.0
22 36.8 09/11/11 NY Giants 27.6 26.7 +0.6 14 28 Washington 19.5 22.6 -4.1
23 37.5 09/26/04 Tampa Bay 15.0 22.2 -5.0 20 30 Oakland 15.4 19.6 0.0
24 37.6 10/05/03 Washington 29.1 25.0 +1.2 25 27 Philadelphia 21.3 23.4 -9.3
25 37.7 10/15/06 Kansas City 27.8 27.0 +7.0 7 45 Pittsburgh 15.8 22.2 -4.0
26 37.8 09/14/03 Tennessee 37.8 31.8 +5.0 7 33 Indianapolis 33.1 28.2 +3.0
27 37.8 09/14/03 San Francisco 27.3 26.2 +42.0 24 27 St Louis 22.3 22.9 -10.0
28 38.1 10/17/04 Pittsburgh 25.3 23.1 +3.6 24 20 Dallas 25.4 20.8 -6.0
29 38.2 09/14/08 Chicago 36.2 34.3 +16.0 17 20 Carolina 32.7 27.7 +2.0
30 38.2 10/24/10 St Louis 21.6 23.4 -1.7 17 18 Tampa Bay 19.1 18.0 -6.2
31 38.3 09/24/07 Tennessee 37.3 31.3 +0.5 31 14 New Orleans 18.6 19.2 -24.0
32 38.5 09/23/07 Cleveland 23.4 22.7 -10.5 24 26 Oakland 8.5 15.9 -9.0
33 38.6 10/10/10 St Louis 21.0 24.3 +6.2 6 44 Detroit 6.1 19.3 -6.0
34 38.8 09/18/11 Cincinnati 26.8 26.7 +10.0 22 24 Denver 9.1 16.6 -3.0
35 39.0 09/14/08 Tennessee 29.0 26.8 +7.0 24 7 Cincinnati 15.2 19.8 -7.0
36 39.1 10/09/05 Chicago 28.8 28.6 +4.3 10 20 Cleveland 26.6 26.6 -6.3
37 39.2 11/21/04 Arizona 22.8 22.8 -1.3 10 35 Carolina 14.0 19.6 -5.7
38 39.3 09/30/07 NY Jets 20.2 22.1 -9.3 14 17 Buffalo 11.4 18.2 -18.3
39 39.5 09/23/07 Carolina 22.6 23.7 +0.5 27 20 Atlanta 10.2 17.4 -13.5
40 39.7 10/12/03 Kansas City 42.5 34.3 +14.0 40 34 Green Bay 28.5 30.6 +10.0
41 39.8 09/21/03 Buffalo 35.9 36.2 +26.0 7 17 Miami 26.1 28.8 +5.0
42 39.8 09/16/07 Minnesota 22.8 24.8 +21.0 17 20 Detroit 20.7 23.6 +15.0
43 40.1 09/21/03 Baltimore 24.4 24.9 +0.5 24 10 San Diego 16.5 20.9 -18.5
44 40.2 09/19/04 St Louis 29.5 27.2 +7.0 17 34 Atlanta 27.4 25.0 +2.0
45 40.4 10/17/10 Oakland 20.0 20.9 -4.6 9 17 San Francisco 7.3 17.5 -10.8
46 40.5 10/28/07 Jacksonville 37.0 30.6 +3.3 24 23 Tampa Bay 31.4 26.8 +2.0
47 40.6 10/07/07 Carolina 19.8 21.5 -1.2 16 13 New Orleans 15.6 14.4 -21.7
48 40.6 10/31/04 Detroit 32.5 27.2 -1.2 21 31 Dallas 19.6 19.6 -8.2
49 40.8 10/10/10 Chicago 24.8 23.4 +0.2 23 6 Carolina 9.2 16.2 -10.2
50 40.9 09/11/11 Cincinnati 21.5 24.1 -6.3 27 17 Cleveland 20.5 22.6 -7.3
51 40.9 09/25/05 Carolina 29.6 29.3 +3.5 24 27 Miami 24.2 25.2 +7.0
52 41.0 09/19/04 Washington 18.2 20.8 +6.0 14 20 NY Giants 9.1 14.4 -14.0
53 41.0 11/09/03 Chicago 17.9 21.0 -7.2 10 12 Detroit 13.7 19.0 -7.1
54 41.2 10/07/07 Jacksonville 34.2 28.3 +4.0 17 7 Kansas City 23.8 23.7 -2.5
55 41.2 09/21/08 Carolina 35.7 30.5 +2.5 10 20 Minnesota 21.7 27.4 -4.0
56 41.6 09/23/07 Jacksonville 23.5 26.5 +1.5 23 14 Denver 27.3 22.9 +2.0
57 41.8 09/30/07 Seattle 23.6 24.8 +4.7 23 3 San Francisco 22.9 19.3 -5.7
58 42.0 09/10/07 Baltimore 35.3 32.8 +9.7 20 27 Cincinnati 25.4 27.2 +6.1
59 42.0 11/19/06 Washington 21.4 22.8 -5.8 17 20 Tampa Bay 15.6 17.5 -9.4
60 42.0 11/07/10 Indianapolis 34.1 30.6 +7.3 24 26 Philadelphia 27.7 27.0 +2.1
61 42.1 10/17/10 Atlanta 36.1 29.3 +8.6 17 31 Philadelphia 23.5 25.3 +3.8
62 42.4 10/10/10 Philadelphia 19.8 23.7 +4.0 27 24 San Francisco 11.5 18.0 -12.8
63 42.5 10/09/05 Tennessee 13.4 17.1 -9.2 34 20 Houston 1.0 17.3 -13.7
64 42.5 09/04/03 NY Jets 30.5 30.3 +7.4 13 16 Washington 21.8 22.4 -0.4
65 42.5 10/22/06 Carolina 33.4 26.9 -0.3 14 17 Cincinnati 24.4 26.4 +2.4
66 42.7 09/18/05 Atlanta 29.9 26.9 +4.0 18 21 Seattle 17.3 18.3 -12.0
67 42.8 10/29/07 Green Bay 37.0 30.1 +5.8 19 13 Denver 27.2 23.8 -9.7
68 42.8 11/04/07 Jacksonville 37.9 29.9 +3.0 24 41 New Orleans 23.0 23.3 -4.3
69 42.9 11/05/06 Green Bay 18.2 22.0 -3.4 10 24 Buffalo 16.5 20.0 -7.6
70 43.0 10/19/03 Baltimore 24.4 24.7 +3.2 26 34 Cincinnati 13.1 19.1 -5.8
71 43.0 09/09/07 Kansas City 26.8 26.5 -2.0 3 20 Houston 27.0 25.4 -5.3
72 43.2 10/03/04 Oakland 19.7 23.4 +3.3 17 30 Houston 13.8 18.3 -5.3
73 43.3 09/23/07 St Louis 15.6 19.7 -7.5 3 24 Tampa Bay 18.7 20.5 +1.5
74 43.6 10/05/03 Tennessee 44.0 31.4 +2.8 30 38 New England 20.4 23.3 -1.5
75 43.7 09/09/07 Detroit 17.4 21.3 -6.6 36 21 Oakland 10.4 16.2 -12.6