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Miami at New England: Point Spread Line Movement

Sunday Dec 30, 2012 4:25 pm - Foxborough, MA
Odds: New England by 11.5, Total Points: 48

NE -11.5 Open -11.0 High -11.5
Last -11.0 Low -9.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2007 NFL season there have been 69 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10.5 to 12.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like New England won the game 60 times (87.0%)
  • The team like Miami won the game 9 times (13.0%)
  • The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 37-32 (53.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2009 NFL season there have been 266 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like New England did better against the spread, going 140-123-3 (53.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -11.5 -12.0 --
Open -11.0 -10.5 --
History
12/30 04:23 PM -- -12.0 --
12/30 04:22 PM -11.5 -- --
12/30 03:54 PM -- -11.0 --
12/30 03:52 PM -11.0 -- --
12/30 03:32 PM -10.0 -- --
12/30 03:12 PM -10.0 -- --
12/30 01:22 PM -9.5 -- --
12/30 12:32 PM -9.5 -- --
12/30 12:12 PM -9.5 -- --
12/30 12:04 PM -- -10.0 --
12/30 11:52 AM -9.5 -- --
12/30 11:34 AM -- -11.0 --
12/30 11:32 AM -10.0 -- --
12/30 11:12 AM -10.0 -- --
12/30 10:42 AM -10.0 -- --
12/30 10:22 AM -10.5 -- --
12/30 10:14 AM -- -11.5 --
12/30 09:52 AM -10.5 -- --
12/30 09:32 AM -10.5 -- --
12/30 08:12 AM -10.5 -- --
12/30 07:42 AM -10.0 -- --
12/30 01:02 AM -10.0 -- --
12/29 08:52 PM -10.0 -- --
12/29 05:04 PM -- -11.0 --
12/29 01:12 PM -10.5 -- --
12/29 12:04 PM -- -10.5 --
12/29 12:02 PM -10.5 -- --
12/29 09:22 AM -10.0 -- --
12/27 10:53 AM -- -10.0 --
12/27 10:52 AM -10.0 -- --
12/25 03:32 AM -10.0 -- --
12/24 04:03 PM -- -10.0 --
12/24 03:53 PM -- -10.5 --
12/24 03:52 PM -10.0 -- --
12/24 10:33 AM -- -10.5 --
12/23 11:22 PM -10.5 -- --
12/23 08:52 PM -11.0 -- --
12/23 08:02 PM -11.0 -- --