Miami at Buffalo: Point Spread Line Movement

Sunday Dec 30, 2018 1:00 pm - Orchard Park, NY
Odds: Buffalo by 5.5, Total Points: 39.5

BUF -5.5 Open -2.0 High -6.0
Last -5.0 Low -2.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2013 NFL season there have been 212 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Buffalo won the game 146 times (68.9%)
  • The team like Miami won the game 65 times (30.7%)
  • The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 108-103-1 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2015 NFL season there have been 77 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 42-32-3 (56.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -5.5 -5.5 -5.5
Open -3.5 -3.5 -3.5
History
12/30 12:33 PM -- -5.5 --
12/30 12:33 PM -5.5 -- --
12/30 12:28 PM -- -5.0 --
12/30 12:28 PM -5.0 -- --
12/30 12:27 PM -- -- -5.5
12/30 12:03 PM -5.0 -- --
12/30 11:36 AM -- -- -5.5
12/30 11:33 AM -5.0 -- --
12/30 11:13 AM -5.0 -- --
12/30 09:53 AM -5.0 -- --
12/30 09:43 AM -5.0 -- --
12/30 08:24 AM -- -5.0 --
12/30 08:13 AM -5.0 -- --
12/30 05:24 AM -- -5.0 --
12/30 05:13 AM -5.0 -- --
12/30 03:34 AM -5.0 -- --
12/30 01:44 AM -- -5.0 --
12/30 01:23 AM -5.0 -- --
12/29 09:45 PM -- -- -5.0
12/29 09:43 PM -- -5.5 --
12/29 09:43 PM -5.5 -- --
12/29 09:14 PM -5.5 -- --
12/29 05:15 PM -- -- -5.5
12/29 04:53 PM -- -5.5 --
12/29 02:35 PM -- -- -6.0
12/29 02:34 PM -5.5 -- --
12/29 03:03 AM -5.5 -- --
12/28 09:15 PM -- -5.5 --
12/28 09:03 PM -5.5 -- --
12/28 08:55 PM -- -- -5.5
12/28 06:55 PM -- -6.0 --
12/28 05:16 PM -- -- -6.0
12/28 05:16 PM -- -6.0 --
12/28 05:05 PM -5.5 -- --
12/28 01:03 PM -5.5 -- --
12/28 11:35 AM -5.5 -- --
12/28 11:35 AM -- -- -5.5
12/28 11:34 AM -- -5.5 --
12/28 11:25 AM -- -- -5.0
12/28 11:23 AM -4.5 -- --
12/28 10:23 AM -4.5 -- --
12/28 01:37 AM -- -- -4.5
12/27 09:45 PM -4.5 -- --
12/27 09:45 PM -- -- -5.0
12/27 12:53 PM -4.0 -- --
12/27 12:45 PM -4.0 -- --
12/27 12:45 PM -- -- -5.0
12/27 11:15 AM -- -4.5 --
12/27 11:05 AM -- -- -4.5
12/27 11:03 AM -4.0 -- --
12/27 05:54 AM -3.5 -- --
12/26 10:03 PM -3.5 -- --
12/26 09:03 PM -3.5 -- --
12/26 10:33 AM -3.5 -- --
12/26 12:06 AM -3.5 -- --
12/26 12:05 AM -- -3.5 --
12/25 03:55 PM -- -3.5 --
12/25 03:43 PM -3.5 -- --
12/25 05:33 AM -- -3.5 --
12/25 05:33 AM -3.5 -- --
12/24 11:35 PM -- -- -3.5
12/24 11:34 PM -- -3.5 --
12/24 11:33 PM -3.5 -- --
12/24 09:03 PM -3.5 -- --
12/24 07:15 PM -- -- -3.5
12/24 06:15 PM -- -- -3.5
12/24 04:03 PM -- -3.5 --
12/24 03:53 PM -3.5 -- --
12/24 01:24 PM -- -3.5 --
12/24 01:16 PM -- -- -3.0
12/24 01:13 PM -3.5 -- --
12/24 11:54 AM -3.5 -- --
12/24 10:55 AM -- -- -3.5
12/24 12:26 AM -- -3.5 --
12/23 09:03 PM -3.5 -- --
12/23 08:34 PM -3.5 -- --
12/23 08:05 PM -3.5 -- --