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Kansas City vs. LA Chargers: Over/Under Analysis

Friday Sep 5, 2025 8:00 pm - Sao Paulo, (Neutral Site)
Odds: Kansas City by 3, Total Points: 47.5

Matchup Menu: KC vs. LAC

More Games From Week 1

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 47.5	Official TR Pick	53% odds to go under
Under 47.5	Similar Games	59% odds to go under
Under 47.5	Decision Tree	53% odds to go under

NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	KC	LAC
Season	4-13-0	6-11-1
vs Division	1-5-0	2-4-0
vs Conference	3-9-0	5-8-0
Streak	Un 5	Un 3
Last 5	0-5-0	0-4-1
Last 10	1-9-0	2-7-1
Home	1-8-0	3-5-0
Away	3-5-0	3-6-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Kansas City Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/05	Neutral	LA Chargers	47.5	21-27	Over	+0.5
09/14	Home	Philadelphia	47.0	17-20	Under	-10.0
09/21	Away	NY Giants	44.5	22-9	Under	-13.5
09/28	Home	Baltimore	49.0	37-20	Over	+8.0
10/06	Away	Jacksonville	45.5	28-31	Over	+13.5
10/12	Home	Detroit	51.0	30-17	Under	-4.0
10/19	Home	Las Vegas	44.5	31-0	Under	-13.5
10/27	Home	Washington	48.0	28-7	Under	-13.0
11/02	Away	Buffalo	53.0	21-28	Under	-4.0
11/16	Away	Denver	45.5	19-22	Under	-4.5
11/23	Home	Indianapolis	49.5	23-20	Under	-6.5
11/27	Away	Dallas	53.0	28-31	Over	+6.0
12/07	Home	Houston	41.5	10-20	Under	-11.5
12/14	Home	LA Chargers	41.5	13-16	Under	-12.5
12/21	Away	Tennessee	38.0	9-26	Under	-3.0
12/25	Home	Denver	38.0	13-20	Under	-5.0
01/04	Away	Las Vegas	35.5	12-14	Under	-9.5

LA Chargers Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/05	Neutral	Kansas City	47.5	27-21	Over	+0.5
09/15	Away	Las Vegas	46.5	20-9	Under	-17.5
09/21	Home	Denver	46.0	23-20	Under	-3.0
09/28	Away	NY Giants	42.5	18-21	Under	-3.5
10/05	Home	Washington	48.5	10-27	Under	-11.5
10/12	Away	Miami	45.0	29-27	Over	+11.0
10/19	Home	Indianapolis	48.5	24-38	Over	+13.5
10/23	Home	Minnesota	45.0	37-10	Over	+2.0
11/02	Away	Tennessee	44.0	27-20	Over	+3.0
11/09	Home	Pittsburgh	46.0	25-10	Under	-11.0
11/16	Away	Jacksonville	43.0	6-35	Under	-2.0
11/30	Home	Las Vegas	40.5	31-14	Over	+4.5
12/08	Home	Philadelphia	42.0	22-19	Under	-1.0
12/14	Away	Kansas City	41.5	16-13	Under	-12.5
12/21	Away	Dallas	51.0	34-17	Push	0.0
12/27	Home	Houston	41.0	16-20	Under	-5.0
01/04	Away	Denver	37.5	3-19	Under	-15.5
01/11	Away	New England	45.5	3-16	Under	-26.5