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LA Chargers at New England: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Jan 11, 2026 8:15 pm - Foxborough, MA
Odds: New England by 3.5, Total Points: 45.5

Matchup Menu: LAC @ NE

More Games From Wild Card

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 45.0	Official TR Pick	50% odds to go over
Over 45.0	Decision Tree	50% odds to go over
Under 45.0	Similar Games	53% odds to go under

NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	LAC	NE
Season	6-11-1	12-9-0
vs Division	2-4-0	4-2-0
vs Conference	5-8-0	8-7-0
Streak	Un 3	Un 2
Last 5	0-4-1	2-3-0
Last 10	2-7-1	6-4-0
Home	3-5-0	7-4-0
Away	3-6-1	5-5-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

LA Chargers Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/05	Neutral	Kansas City	47.5	27-21	Over	+0.5
09/15	Away	Las Vegas	46.5	20-9	Under	-17.5
09/21	Home	Denver	46.0	23-20	Under	-3.0
09/28	Away	NY Giants	42.5	18-21	Under	-3.5
10/05	Home	Washington	48.5	10-27	Under	-11.5
10/12	Away	Miami	45.0	29-27	Over	+11.0
10/19	Home	Indianapolis	48.5	24-38	Over	+13.5
10/23	Home	Minnesota	45.0	37-10	Over	+2.0
11/02	Away	Tennessee	44.0	27-20	Over	+3.0
11/09	Home	Pittsburgh	46.0	25-10	Under	-11.0
11/16	Away	Jacksonville	43.0	6-35	Under	-2.0
11/30	Home	Las Vegas	40.5	31-14	Over	+4.5
12/08	Home	Philadelphia	42.0	22-19	Under	-1.0
12/14	Away	Kansas City	41.5	16-13	Under	-12.5
12/21	Away	Dallas	51.0	34-17	Push	0.0
12/27	Home	Houston	41.0	16-20	Under	-5.0
01/04	Away	Denver	37.5	3-19	Under	-15.5
01/11	Away	New England	45.5	3-16	Under	-26.5

New England Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/07	Home	Las Vegas	44.0	13-20	Under	-11.0
09/14	Away	Miami	42.5	33-27	Over	+17.5
09/21	Home	Pittsburgh	44.0	14-21	Under	-9.0
09/28	Home	Carolina	42.5	42-13	Over	+12.5
10/05	Away	Buffalo	49.0	23-20	Under	-6.0
10/12	Away	New Orleans	46.0	25-19	Under	-2.0
10/19	Away	Tennessee	40.5	31-13	Over	+3.5
10/26	Home	Cleveland	40.5	32-13	Over	+4.5
11/02	Home	Atlanta	45.5	24-23	Over	+1.5
11/09	Away	Tampa Bay	47.0	28-23	Over	+4.0
11/13	Home	NY Jets	42.5	27-14	Under	-1.5
11/23	Away	Cincinnati	50.0	26-20	Under	-4.0
12/01	Home	NY Giants	46.5	33-15	Over	+1.5
12/14	Home	Buffalo	49.5	31-35	Over	+16.5
12/21	Away	Baltimore	48.0	28-24	Over	+4.0
12/28	Away	NY Jets	42.5	42-10	Over	+9.5
01/04	Home	Miami	43.5	38-10	Over	+4.5
01/11	Home	LA Chargers	45.5	16-3	Under	-26.5
01/18	Home	Houston	41.0	28-16	Over	+3.0
01/25	Away	Denver	43.0	10-7	Under	-26.0
02/08	Neutral	Seattle	45.0	13-29	Under	-3.0