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Tampa Bay at Carolina: Over/Under Analysis

Sunday Dec 21, 2025 1:00 pm - Charlotte, NC
Odds: Tampa Bay by 3, Total Points: 44.5

Matchup Menu: TB @ CAR

More Games From Week 16

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Over 44.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go over
Over 44.5	Similar Games	59% odds to go over
Over 44.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go over

NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TB	CAR
Season	8-9-0	8-10-0
vs Division	2-4-0	1-5-0
vs Conference	5-7-0	5-8-0
Streak	Un 3	Ov 1
Last 5	2-3-0	1-4-0
Last 10	4-6-0	3-7-0
Home	6-2-0	5-4-0
Away	2-7-0	3-6-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Tampa Bay Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/07	Away	Atlanta	47.5	23-20	Under	-4.5
09/15	Away	Houston	42.5	20-19	Under	-3.5
09/21	Home	NY Jets	43.0	29-27	Over	+13.0
09/28	Home	Philadelphia	44.0	25-31	Over	+12.0
10/05	Away	Seattle	44.5	38-35	Over	+28.5
10/12	Home	San Francisco	47.0	30-19	Over	+2.0
10/20	Away	Detroit	54.0	9-24	Under	-21.0
10/26	Away	New Orleans	46.0	23-3	Under	-20.0
11/09	Home	New England	47.0	23-28	Over	+4.0
11/16	Away	Buffalo	45.5	32-44	Over	+30.5
11/23	Away	LA Rams	49.5	7-34	Under	-8.5
11/30	Home	Arizona	45.5	20-17	Under	-8.5
12/07	Home	New Orleans	41.5	20-24	Over	+2.5
12/11	Home	Atlanta	43.5	28-29	Over	+13.5
12/21	Away	Carolina	44.5	20-23	Under	-1.5
12/28	Away	Miami	44.0	17-20	Under	-7.0
01/03	Home	Carolina	42.5	16-14	Under	-12.5

Carolina Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/07	Away	Jacksonville	45.5	10-26	Under	-9.5
09/14	Away	Arizona	45.5	22-27	Over	+3.5
09/21	Home	Atlanta	44.0	30-0	Under	-14.0
09/28	Away	New England	42.5	13-42	Over	+12.5
10/05	Home	Miami	44.0	27-24	Over	+7.0
10/12	Home	Dallas	46.5	30-27	Over	+10.5
10/19	Away	NY Jets	40.0	13-6	Under	-21.0
10/26	Home	Buffalo	47.5	9-40	Over	+1.5
11/02	Away	Green Bay	43.0	16-13	Under	-14.0
11/09	Home	New Orleans	38.0	7-17	Under	-14.0
11/16	Away	Atlanta	41.5	30-27	Over	+15.5
11/24	Away	San Francisco	49.0	9-20	Under	-20.0
11/30	Home	LA Rams	45.0	31-28	Over	+14.0
12/14	Away	New Orleans	41.5	17-20	Under	-4.5
12/21	Home	Tampa Bay	44.5	23-20	Under	-1.5
12/28	Home	Seattle	43.5	10-27	Under	-6.5
01/03	Away	Tampa Bay	42.5	14-16	Under	-12.5
01/10	Home	LA Rams	45.0	31-34	Over	+20.0