Denver at Buffalo : Point Spread Line Movement

Saturday Dec 24, 2011 1:00 pm - Orchard Park, NY
Odds: Denver by 2.5, Total Points: 43

DEN -2.5 Open -3.0 High -3.0
Last -3.0 Low -1.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from Pinnacle Sports

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2006 NFL season there have been 197 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Denver won the game 117 times (59.4%)
  • The team like Buffalo won the game 80 times (40.6%)
  • The team like Denver did better against the spread, going 99-91-7 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2008 NFL season there have been 265 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Denver did better against the spread, going 131-128-6 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Spread History

Pinnacle BetOnline Bookmaker
Current -2.5 -3.0 -3.0
Open -3.0 -1.5 -3.0
History
12/24 01:05 PM -- -- -3.0
12/24 01:00 PM -2.5 -- --
12/24 12:58 PM -- -3.0 --
12/24 12:56 PM -3.0 -- --
12/24 12:15 PM -- -- -3.0
12/24 11:36 AM -3.0 -- --
12/24 10:56 AM -2.5 -- --
12/24 10:05 AM -- -- -3.0
12/24 09:58 AM -- -3.0 --
12/24 07:56 AM -2.5 -- --
12/23 08:56 PM -2.5 -- --
12/23 07:25 PM -- -- -3.0
12/23 07:08 PM -- -3.0 --
12/22 12:36 PM -2.5 -- --
12/22 08:26 AM -1.5 -- --
12/21 10:06 PM -1.5 -- --
12/21 03:56 PM -1.5 -- --
12/21 03:03 PM -- -- -3.0
12/21 12:48 PM -- -3.0 --
12/21 12:46 PM -1.5 -- --
12/20 05:18 PM -- -2.5 --
12/20 05:16 PM -1.5 -- --
12/20 07:56 AM -3.0 -- --
12/19 09:56 AM -3.0 -- --
12/19 05:16 AM -3.0 -- --
12/18 09:58 PM -- -3.0 --
12/18 09:56 PM -3.0 -- --
12/18 08:38 PM -- -3.0 --
12/18 08:26 PM -3.0 -- --
12/17 01:00 PM -3.0 -- --
12/15 05:38 PM -- -2.0 --
12/15 12:18 PM -- -1.5 --