Week 15 NFL Survivor Picks: Rams Get Their Shot Against the Jets (2020)

The Los Angeles Rams draw the Jets this week, but four other teams favored by double digits also loom as potential Week 15 survivor picks.

Week 15 NFL Survivor Picks

Aaron Donald versus the Jets offense, who ya got? (Photo by Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire)

With only three weeks to go, NFL Week 15 presents us with lots of heavy favorites as potential survivor picks, though many of them will have already been used by most players.

In this post, we’ll analyze the five most popular NFL survivor picks of Week 15 using the “Holy Trinity” of survivor pick strategy data: win odds, pick popularity, future value.

The foundation of this pick analysis is the Data Grid feature of our NFL Survivor Picks product, the only tool on the market that customizes picks to maximize your edge in survivor pools.

Last Week’s Survivor Recap

  • After what seemed like months of the most popular public choices being involved in close games and surviving, the two most popular choices, Seattle and Tennessee, rolled to easy victories in Week 15.
  • The New Orleans loss to Philadelphia was the biggest survivor elimination game, for both the public and our subscriber recommendations.
  • The two teams where our subscriber picks were highest relative to the public, Green Bay and Dallas, both won, and some other games also eliminated small amounts of public entries.

When the dust settled, TeamRankings subscriber picks survived Week 14 at a 93.9% rate, compared to an 87.5% survival rate for the public.

Game By Game Pick Results

Here’s how our picks compared to the public last week, for any team picked at a 2% or higher rate:

TeamPublic Pick RateTR Pick RateDifferenceResult
Seattle54%56%2%Won by 37
Tennessee21%9%-12%Won by 21
New Orleans5%4%-1%Lost by 3
Tampa Bay3%2%-1%Won by 12
Carolina3%1%-2%Lost by 5
San Francisco2%0.5%-2%Lost by 8
Dallas2%7%5%Won by 23
Kansas City2%2%0%Won by 6
Green Bay2%17%15%Won by 7

Week 15 NFL Survivor Pick Analysis

Now, let’s break down the public’s five favorite survivor picks this week, evaluating the pros and cons of each pick. You’re probably thinking about picking at least one of the five teams listed below.

Just remember there are also other picks to consider in Week 15. The analysis below is also generalized for standard rules survivor pools, and based on early week data that could change as game day nears.

To get our customized Week 15 survivor pick recommendations for your pool, incorporating the latest betting odds and matchup information, use the My Pool Picks feature of our NFL Survivor Picks product.

1. Los Angeles Rams (vs. New York Jets)

Survivor Pick Popularity: 24%
Point Spread: -17

The Los Angeles Rams are this week’s winner of the “Play The Jets” sweepstakes, and as a result are the biggest favorite and most popular pick.

The Rams were already the most popular public choice back in Week 4 against the Giants, and LA was one of our most frequent subscriber recommendations when they beat the Bears in Week 7.

If you still have the Rams available, they are a high value choice this week, because their popularity is held down by past usage. They are tied for the fourth-largest favorite of the year by our win odds projections, trailing only Kansas City (vs. the Jets), New Orleans (at Denver), and tied with Seattle last week against the same Jets.

This is also the last clear spot to use them, though they could have some value at home against Arizona in Week 17 if necessary.

2. Tennessee Titans (vs. Detroit)

Survivor Pick Popularity: 21%
Point Spread: -11

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