CAA Championship Information

2016 CAA tournament site: 1st Mariner Bank Arena, Baltimore, MD
2016 CAA tournament dates: March 4th-7th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project James Mad as the most likely winner of the 2016 CAA Championship. The second most likely team to top the CAA bracket is Hofstra.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2016 CAA tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 CAA tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the CAA tournament championship for every team in the 2016 CAA bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

CAA CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
NC-Wilmgton 11 2 13.8 4.2 21.8 7.2 65.8% 19.0%
Hofstra 9 4 12.5 5.5 20.5 9.5 12.8% 20.1%
James Mad 9 4 12.3 5.7 22.3 8.7 13.7% 21.3%
Wm & Mary 9 4 12.1 5.9 20.1 8.9 6.9% 20.0%
Towson 8 5 10.0 8.0 19.0 12.0 0.7% 4.1%
Col Charlestn 7 6 9.3 8.7 17.3 11.7 0.0% 7.3%
Northeastrn 5 8 7.6 10.4 15.6 15.4 0.0% 5.6%
Elon 5 8 7.3 10.7 16.3 14.7 0.0% 2.2%
Drexel 1 12 2.7 15.3 4.7 24.3 0.0% 0.2%
Delaware 1 12 2.4 15.6 7.4 21.6 0.0% 0.2%

The 2016 CAA projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 CAA Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the CAA tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 CAA Championship depend only partly on their CAA bracket seed. Winning the CAA Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 CAA bracket. In some cases, the team with a better CAA Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the CAA Championship championship than a team with a worse CAA tournament seed.

In addition, because CAA tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in CAA conference games, CAA tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the CAA bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 CAA Championship than lower seeded teams in the CAA bracket.