NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
First Round - neutral site.
Quarterfinals - neutral site.
Semifinals - neutral site.
Championship Game - neutral site.
The 2020 CAA tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2020 CAA tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the CAA tournament championship
for every team in the 2020 CAA bracket.
The 2020 CAA projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2020 CAA Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the CAA tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2020 CAA Championship depend only partly on their CAA bracket seed. Winning the CAA Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2020 CAA bracket. In some cases, the team with a better CAA Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the CAA Championship championship than a team with a worse CAA tournament seed.
In addition, because CAA tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in CAA conference games, CAA tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the CAA bracket can have better odds to win the 2020 CAA Championship than lower seeded teams in the CAA bracket.