NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.
The 2021 Atlantic Sun tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every
2021 Atlantic Sun tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings,
we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Atlantic Sun tournament championship
for every team in the 2021 Atlantic Sun bracket.
The 2021 Atlantic Sun projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2021 Atlantic Sun Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Atlantic Sun tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2021 Atlantic Sun Championship depend only partly on their Atlantic Sun bracket seed. Winning the Atlantic Sun Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2021 Atlantic Sun bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Atlantic Sun Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Atlantic Sun Championship championship than a team with a worse Atlantic Sun tournament seed.
In addition, because Atlantic Sun tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Atlantic Sun conference games, Atlantic Sun tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Atlantic Sun bracket can have better odds to win the 2021 Atlantic Sun Championship than lower seeded teams in the Atlantic Sun bracket.