Atlantic Sun Championship Information

2015 Atlantic Sun tournament site: Campus Sites
2015 Atlantic Sun tournament dates: March 3rd, 5th & 8th, 2015

In our final calculations before the start of the 2015 Atlantic Sun Championship, we projected N Florida as the most likely winner. The second most likely team to top the Atlantic Sun bracket, according to our final pre-tournament calculations, was Fla Gulf Cst.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown were frozen prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.

The 2015 Atlantic Sun tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2015 Atlantic Sun tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Atlantic Sun tournament championship for every team in the 2015 Atlantic Sun bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Atlantic Sun CURRENT PROJECTION PLAYOFFS
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
N Florida 12 2 12.0 2.0 23.0 11.0 100.0% 100.0%
Fla Gulf Cst 11 3 11.0 3.0 22.0 10.0 0.0% 0.0%
SC Upstate 8 6 8.0 6.0 23.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
N Kentucky 7 7 7.0 7.0 13.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lipscomb 7 7 7.0 7.0 14.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville 4 10 4.0 10.0 10.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%
Kennesaw St 4 10 4.0 10.0 10.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%
Stetson 3 11 3.0 11.0 9.0 22.0 0.0% 0.0%

A team's relative odds to win the 2015 Atlantic Sun Championship depend only partly on their Atlantic Sun bracket seed. Winning the Atlantic Sun Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2015 Atlantic Sun bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Atlantic Sun Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Atlantic Sun Championship championship than a team with a worse Atlantic Sun tournament seed.

In addition, because Atlantic Sun tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Atlantic Sun conference games, Atlantic Sun tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Atlantic Sun bracket can have better odds to win the 2015 Atlantic Sun Championship than lower seeded teams in the Atlantic Sun bracket.