Atlantic Sun Championship Information

2016 Atlantic Sun tournament site: Campus Sites
2016 Atlantic Sun tournament dates: March 1st, 3rd & 6th, 2016

In our most recent calculations, we project N Florida as the most likely winner of the 2016 Atlantic Sun Championship. The second most likely team to top the Atlantic Sun bracket is NJIT.

Please note that unlike in past seasons, this year we will not be updating this advancement odds table (the top table) after every round. The values shown will freeze prior to the beginning of the first round. However, you can still find our latest projected odds for each team to win the conference tournament in the last column of the standings table at the bottom of the page.

Seed Team Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
Quarterfinals - higher seed.
Semifinals - higher seed.
Championship Game - higher seed.

The 2016 Atlantic Sun tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2016 Atlantic Sun tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Atlantic Sun tournament championship for every team in the 2016 Atlantic Sun bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
N Florida 7 3 9.9 4.1 20.9 10.1 63.8% 51.3%
Jacksonville 7 3 9.2 4.8 17.2 13.8 23.9% 10.8%
Fla Gulf Cst 6 4 8.7 5.3 17.7 12.3 4.8% 16.9%
NJIT 6 4 8.2 5.8 17.2 12.8 7.3% 18.1%
Lipscomb 5 5 6.8 7.2 10.8 20.2 0.2% 2.3%
Kennesaw St 4 6 5.2 8.8 9.2 20.8 0.0% 0.4%
Stetson 3 7 4.9 9.1 11.6 19.4 0.0% 0.0%
SC Upstate 2 8 3.1 10.9 9.1 21.9 0.0% 0.2%

The 2016 Atlantic Sun projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2016 Atlantic Sun Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Atlantic Sun tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2016 Atlantic Sun Championship depend only partly on their Atlantic Sun bracket seed. Winning the Atlantic Sun Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2016 Atlantic Sun bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Atlantic Sun Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Atlantic Sun Championship championship than a team with a worse Atlantic Sun tournament seed.

In addition, because Atlantic Sun tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Atlantic Sun conference games, Atlantic Sun tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Atlantic Sun bracket can have better odds to win the 2016 Atlantic Sun Championship than lower seeded teams in the Atlantic Sun bracket.