ACC Tournament Information

2026 ACC tournament site: Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
2026 ACC tournament dates: March 10th-14th, 2026

These 2026 ACC tournament advancement odds and average projected seeds are based on our projected conference standings.

Seed Team R2 Quarter Semi Champ Win

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.

In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.

  • First Round - neutral site.
  • Second Round - neutral site.
  • Quarterfinals - neutral site.
  • Semifinals - neutral site.
  • Championship Game - neutral site.

The 2026 ACC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2026 ACC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the ACC tournament championship for every team in the 2026 ACC bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

ACC

  Current Projection Playoffs
Team conf W L conf W L overall W L Win Conf Win Tourn
Duke 10 1 16.1 1.9 27.5 3.5 84.0% 49.8%
Clemson 10 1 14.1 3.9 24.1 6.9 7.3% 5.8%
Virginia 9 2 13.9 4.1 25.5 5.5 6.8% 9.2%
NC State 9 3 12.5 5.5 21.5 9.5 1.5% 6.0%
Louisville 8 4 12.2 5.8 23.0 8.0 0.0% 17.5%
North Carolina 7 3 11.6 6.4 23.6 7.4 0.5% 6.2%
Miami 7 3 11.0 7.0 22.0 9.0 0.0% 1.9%
SMU 5 5 10.5 7.5 21.5 9.5 0.0% 3.0%
California 5 6 8.6 9.4 20.6 10.4 0.0% 0.1%
Virginia Tech 5 6 8.0 10.0 19.0 12.0 0.0% 0.2%
Florida St 4 6 7.0 11.0 14.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Stanford 4 7 6.8 11.2 17.8 13.2 0.0% 0.1%
Syracuse 4 7 6.5 11.5 15.5 15.5 0.0% 0.1%
Wake Forest 2 8 6.0 12.0 15.0 16.0 0.0% 0.1%
Notre Dame 2 9 5.0 13.0 14.0 17.0 0.0% 0.0%
Pittsburgh 2 9 4.2 13.8 11.2 19.8 0.0% 0.0%
Boston College 2 8 4.1 13.9 11.1 19.9 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Tech 2 9 3.7 14.3 12.7 18.3 0.0% 0.0%

The 2026 ACC projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2026 ACC Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the ACC tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2026 ACC Tournament depend only partly on their ACC bracket seed. Winning the ACC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2026 ACC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better ACC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the ACC Tournament championship than a team with a worse ACC tournament seed.

In addition, because ACC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in ACC conference games, ACC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the ACC bracket can have better odds to win the 2026 ACC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the ACC bracket.