2025 ACC tournament site: Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC
2025 ACC tournament dates: March 11th-15th, 2025
When the page first loads, this table shows advancement odds calculated before the Championship Game. To see odds frozen before an earlier round, use the "As Of:" drop down.
Seed | Team | R2 | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage.
In some cases this may not be the true game location; instead we may use a proxy location that we think makes our home advantage calculation more accurate than simply treating the location as a neutral court.
The 2025 ACC tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2025 ACC tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the ACC tournament championship for every team in the 2025 ACC bracket.
Current | Projection | Playoffs | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
Duke | 19 | 1 | 19.0 | 1.0 | 31.0 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% |
Louisville | 18 | 2 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 7.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Clemson | 18 | 2 | 18.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
North Carolina | 13 | 7 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
SMU | 13 | 7 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 23.0 | 10.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Wake Forest | 13 | 7 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 21.0 | 11.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Stanford | 11 | 9 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Georgia Tech | 10 | 10 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 17.0 | 16.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Virginia Tech | 8 | 12 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Virginia | 8 | 12 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Florida St | 8 | 12 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Notre Dame | 8 | 12 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pittsburgh | 8 | 12 | 8.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 15.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Syracuse | 7 | 13 | 7.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
California | 6 | 14 | 6.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
NC State | 5 | 15 | 5.0 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Boston College | 4 | 16 | 4.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 19.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Miami | 3 | 17 | 3.0 | 17.0 | 7.0 | 24.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
A team's relative odds to win the 2025 ACC Tournament depend only partly on their ACC bracket seed. Winning the ACC Tournament also depends on the dynamics of the 2025 ACC bracket. In some cases, the team with a better ACC Tournament seed may actually face a harder path to the ACC Tournament championship than a team with a worse ACC tournament seed.
In addition, because ACC tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in ACC conference games, ACC tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the ACC bracket can have better odds to win the 2025 ACC Tournament than lower seeded teams in the ACC bracket.
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