Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 22.6
Gonzaga (29-1)
29.0 1.0 100.0% 13.4%
2 22.0
N Carolina (25-5)
26.2 5.8 100.0% 11.3%
3 21.2
W Virginia (23-6)
24.3 6.7 100.0% 7.9%
4 21.1
Villanova (27-3)
27.7 3.3 100.0% 8.9%
5 21.1
Kentucky (24-5)
25.7 5.3 100.0% 8.4%
6 20.5
Kansas (26-3)
27.5 3.5 100.0% 7.5%
7 19.9
Louisville (22-6)
24.3 6.7 100.0% 5.3%
8 19.8
Florida (23-6)
24.6 6.4 100.0% 5.3%
9 19.8
Duke (22-7)
23.0 8.0 100.0% 4.6%
10 19.2
Virginia (19-9)
20.5 9.5 99.9% 3.2%
11 18.8
UCLA (26-3)
28.0 3.0 100.0% 3.9%
12 18.2
Purdue (23-6)
24.4 6.6 100.0% 2.5%
13 18.1
Oregon (26-4)
27.0 4.0 100.0% 3.1%
14 17.7
Wichita St (27-4)
27.0 4.0 99.3% 1.5%
15 17.0
Wisconsin (22-6)
24.3 6.7 99.6% 1.5%
16 16.8
Baylor (23-6)
24.1 6.9 100.0% 1.6%
17 16.7
Florida St (23-6)
24.0 7.0 100.0% 1.6%
18 16.1
Cincinnati (25-3)
27.2 3.8 100.0% 1.2%
19 15.7
Iowa State (19-9)
19.9 10.1 99.5% 0.7%
20 15.7
Butler (22-6)
23.3 6.7 100.0% 1.2%
21 15.7
26.9 4.1 100.0% 1.0%
22 15.5
Arizona (26-4)
26.8 4.2 100.0% 0.9%
23 15.4
St Marys (26-3)
26.0 3.0 100.0% 0.6%
24 15.2
Creighton (22-7)
23.3 7.7 99.0% 0.6%
25 14.8
20.8 10.2 93.0% 0.4%
26 14.8
Notre Dame (21-7)
23.1 7.9 99.8% 0.5%
27 13.9
Michigan (19-10)
20.1 10.9 76.5% 0.2%
28 13.4
Miami (FL) (20-8)
20.7 9.3 95.9% 0.2%
29 13.2
Xavier (18-10)
20.0 11.0 89.9% 0.2%
30 12.9
Marquette (17-11)
17.9 12.1 32.1% 0.1%
31 12.9
Syracuse (17-12)
18.0 13.0 35.7% 0.1%
32 12.8
Indiana (16-13)
16.7 14.3 6.6% 0.0%
33 12.4
S Carolina (21-8)
22.4 8.6 98.4% 0.1%
34 12.0
Clemson (14-14)
15.8 14.2 1.4% 0.0%
35 12.0
Dayton (23-5)
24.4 5.6 99.0% 0.1%

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