Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 19.3
N Carolina (19-3)
25.2 5.8 99.9% 8.0%
2 19.2
25.2 5.8 99.8% 7.6%
3 19.2
Villanova (19-3)
26.4 4.6 100.0% 8.6%
4 19.1
Louisville (18-4)
23.8 7.2 0.0% 0.0%
5 18.9
Duke (16-6)
22.0 9.0 97.1% 6.4%
6 18.9
Oklahoma (19-2)
25.5 4.5 100.0% 7.9%
7 18.9
Kansas (18-4)
24.4 6.6 100.0% 7.5%
8 18.8
W Virginia (18-4)
24.4 6.6 99.9% 7.1%
9 18.1
Purdue (19-4)
24.2 6.8 99.2% 5.0%
10 17.5
Virginia (18-4)
22.8 7.2 99.9% 4.6%
11 17.3
Indiana (19-4)
24.2 6.8 97.2% 3.5%
12 17.2
Iowa (18-4)
23.7 6.3 100.0% 4.2%
13 16.8
Miami (FL) (17-4)
22.6 7.4 98.9% 3.4%
14 16.7
Maryland (20-3)
25.6 5.4 100.0% 3.3%
15 16.5
Arizona (18-5)
24.1 6.9 95.2% 2.6%
16 15.9
25.6 4.4 0.0% 0.0%
17 15.6
Texas A&M (18-4)
25.0 6.0 99.2% 2.2%
18 15.5
Xavier (20-2)
25.2 4.8 100.0% 2.4%
19 15.4
Kentucky (16-6)
21.8 9.2 94.2% 1.8%
20 15.2
Vanderbilt (13-9)
19.3 11.7 74.1% 1.0%
21 14.9
Iowa State (16-6)
21.4 9.6 97.9% 1.4%
22 14.7
Florida (15-7)
21.0 10.0 90.4% 1.1%
23 14.6
22.5 8.5 92.4% 1.0%
24 14.5
Wichita St (17-5)
24.2 5.8 98.9% 1.1%
25 14.4
Gonzaga (18-5)
23.1 6.9 73.3% 0.7%
26 14.3
Cincinnati (17-6)
22.7 8.3 90.8% 0.8%
27 13.9
Butler (15-7)
20.1 9.9 63.1% 0.5%
28 13.6
Pittsburgh (17-4)
21.3 8.7 69.3% 0.5%
29 13.4
Michigan (17-6)
21.3 9.7 75.4% 0.4%
30 13.2
Baylor (17-5)
21.3 9.7 83.5% 0.5%
31 13.1
Oregon (19-4)
24.2 6.8 99.9% 0.9%
32 12.9
Texas (15-7)
19.2 11.8 92.1% 0.5%
33 12.8
Notre Dame (15-7)
19.1 10.9 63.6% 0.3%
34 12.8
VCU (17-5)
23.8 7.2 94.1% 0.5%
35 12.4
Valparaiso (19-4)
26.1 4.9 94.1% 0.3%

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