Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L NCAA Bid Champ
1 22.6
Gonzaga (28-0)
30.0 0.0 100.0% 13.5%
2 21.7
N Carolina (23-5)
25.6 6.4 100.0% 9.8%
3 21.4
Villanova (26-2)
28.4 2.6 100.0% 9.5%
4 21.3
W Virginia (22-6)
24.1 6.9 100.0% 7.8%
5 21.2
Kentucky (22-5)
25.4 5.6 100.0% 8.0%
6 20.4
Kansas (24-3)
27.2 3.8 100.0% 7.3%
7 20.2
Duke (22-5)
24.3 6.7 100.0% 5.8%
8 20.1
Louisville (22-5)
24.6 6.4 100.0% 5.8%
9 19.9
Florida (22-5)
24.8 6.2 100.0% 5.3%
10 19.0
Virginia (18-9)
20.3 9.7 99.6% 2.9%
11 18.7
Purdue (22-5)
24.8 6.2 100.0% 3.2%
12 18.6
UCLA (24-3)
27.3 3.7 100.0% 3.3%
13 18.3
Oregon (24-4)
26.4 4.6 100.0% 3.0%
14 17.5
Wisconsin (22-5)
25.0 6.0 100.0% 2.0%
15 17.3
Wichita St (25-4)
26.8 4.2 99.0% 1.3%
16 17.1
Baylor (22-5)
24.4 6.6 100.0% 1.9%
17 16.5
Florida St (22-6)
23.5 7.5 100.0% 1.3%
18 16.1
Cincinnati (24-3)
27.1 3.9 100.0% 1.1%
19 15.8
Creighton (22-5)
24.4 6.6 99.9% 1.0%
20 15.7
Iowa State (18-9)
19.5 10.5 97.0% 0.6%
21 15.6
Arizona (25-3)
27.2 3.8 100.0% 1.0%
22 15.5
26.5 4.5 100.0% 0.8%
23 15.2
St Marys (24-3)
25.9 3.1 100.0% 0.6%
24 15.2
Butler (21-6)
22.4 7.6 100.0% 0.8%
25 14.8
Notre Dame (21-7)
23.0 8.0 99.9% 0.5%
26 14.1
19.8 11.2 78.4% 0.2%
27 13.6
Michigan (17-10)
19.3 11.7 57.7% 0.1%
28 13.5
Xavier (18-9)
20.6 10.4 95.8% 0.2%
29 13.2
Miami (FL) (19-8)
20.1 9.9 83.8% 0.1%
30 13.1
Indiana (15-12)
17.0 14.0 11.9% 0.0%
31 12.8
Syracuse (16-12)
17.4 13.6 19.9% 0.0%
32 12.7
Marquette (16-10)
18.2 11.8 40.1% 0.1%
33 12.5
Kansas St (17-10)
19.2 11.8 30.6% 0.0%
34 12.0
Maryland (22-5)
24.9 6.1 99.6% 0.1%
35 12.0
Clemson (14-12)
16.6 13.4 11.0% 0.0%

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