This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2025-26 NCAA Basketball season.
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Basketball Bracketology Trends 2026
Every day, we run thousands of computer simulations of the college basketball season, including all remaining regular season games, all conference tournaments, NCAA selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself.
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 18.8% | 81.2% | |
| 100.0% | 40.4% | 59.6% | |
| 100.0% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| 82.1% | 33.4% | 48.7% | |
| 100.0% | 59.2% | 40.8% | |
| 39.6% | 3.2% | 36.4% | |
| 100.0% | 64.9% | 35.1% | |
| 77.2% | 45.9% | 31.3% | |
| 51.2% | 26.0% | 25.2% | |
| 100.0% | 76.6% | 23.4% |
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Decline Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% | 59.6% | -59.6% | |
| 0.0% | 56.7% | -56.7% | |
| 0.0% | 53.5% | -53.5% | |
| 0.0% | 40.8% | -40.8% | |
| 0.0% | 35.1% | -35.1% | |
| 0.0% | 30.1% | -30.1% | |
| 0.0% | 26.5% | -26.5% | |
| 0.0% | 23.4% | -23.4% | |
| 75.4% | 97.1% | -21.7% | |
| 60.9% | 77.2% | -16.3% |
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 3.7% | 96.3% | |
| 100.0% | 8.9% | 91.1% | |
| 100.0% | 11.0% | 89.0% | |
| 100.0% | 12.8% | 87.2% | |
| 100.0% | 25.0% | 75.0% | |
| 100.0% | 29.3% | 70.7% | |
| 100.0% | 31.4% | 68.6% | |
| 100.0% | 32.8% | 67.2% | |
| 100.0% | 32.9% | 67.1% | |
| 100.0% | 37.3% | 62.7% |
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.9% | 84.3% | -67.4% | |
| 0.0% | 66.1% | -66.1% | |
| 0.0% | 53.5% | -53.5% | |
| 0.0% | 49.8% | -49.8% | |
| 0.0% | 47.7% | -47.7% | |
| 9.4% | 51.1% | -41.7% | |
| 0.0% | 38.8% | -38.8% | |
| 0.0% | 37.2% | -37.2% | |
| 0.0% | 37.1% | -37.1% | |
| 0.0% | 32.7% | -32.7% |
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 2.6% | 97.4% | |
| 100.0% | 2.7% | 97.3% | |
| 100.0% | 11.1% | 88.9% | |
| 100.0% | 11.6% | 88.4% | |
| 100.0% | 14.1% | 85.9% | |
| 100.0% | 16.7% | 83.3% | |
| 84.8% | 2.0% | 82.8% | |
| 100.0% | 17.7% | 82.3% | |
| 100.0% | 18.1% | 81.9% | |
| 100.0% | 21.7% | 78.3% |
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.9% | 96.5% | -79.6% | |
| 0.0% | 57.2% | -57.2% | |
| 0.0% | 53.8% | -53.8% | |
| 2.7% | 46.9% | -44.2% | |
| 0.0% | 38.0% | -38.0% | |
| 0.0% | 35.9% | -35.9% | |
| 0.0% | 34.3% | -34.3% | |
| 0.0% | 33.0% | -33.0% | |
| 0.0% | 32.3% | -32.3% | |
| 39.6% | 70.8% | -31.2% |
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 18.8% | 81.2% | |
| 100.0% | 40.4% | 59.6% | |
| 100.0% | 43.8% | 56.2% | |
| 100.0% | 46.5% | 53.5% | |
| 100.0% | 57.3% | 42.7% | |
| 100.0% | 59.2% | 40.8% | |
| 100.0% | 61.3% | 38.7% | |
| 53.4% | 17.1% | 36.3% | |
| 100.0% | 64.9% | 35.1% | |
| 77.2% | 45.9% | 31.3% |
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Decline Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% | 59.6% | -59.6% | |
| 0.0% | 56.7% | -56.7% | |
| 0.0% | 56.2% | -56.2% | |
| 0.0% | 53.5% | -53.5% | |
| 0.0% | 51.8% | -51.8% | |
| 0.0% | 51.3% | -51.3% | |
| 0.0% | 42.7% | -42.7% | |
| 0.0% | 40.8% | -40.8% | |
| 0.0% | 38.7% | -38.7% | |
| 0.0% | 35.1% | -35.1% |
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 3.7% | 96.3% | |
| 100.0% | 8.9% | 91.1% | |
| 100.0% | 11.0% | 89.0% | |
| 100.0% | 12.8% | 87.2% | |
| 100.0% | 25.0% | 75.0% | |
| 100.0% | 29.3% | 70.7% | |
| 100.0% | 31.4% | 68.6% | |
| 100.0% | 32.8% | 67.2% | |
| 100.0% | 32.9% | 67.1% | |
| 100.0% | 34.6% | 65.4% |
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% | 66.1% | -66.1% | |
| 0.0% | 53.5% | -53.5% | |
| 0.0% | 49.8% | -49.8% | |
| 0.0% | 47.7% | -47.7% | |
| 0.0% | 43.2% | -43.2% | |
| 0.0% | 42.9% | -42.9% | |
| 0.0% | 41.7% | -41.7% | |
| 0.0% | 38.8% | -38.8% | |
| 0.0% | 37.2% | -37.2% | |
| 0.0% | 37.1% | -37.1% |
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100.0% | 2.6% | 97.4% | |
| 100.0% | 2.7% | 97.3% | |
| 100.0% | 11.1% | 88.9% | |
| 100.0% | 11.6% | 88.4% | |
| 100.0% | 14.1% | 85.9% | |
| 100.0% | 16.7% | 83.3% | |
| 100.0% | 17.7% | 82.3% | |
| 100.0% | 18.1% | 81.9% | |
| 100.0% | 21.7% | 78.3% | |
| 100.0% | 24.2% | 75.8% |
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0% | 57.2% | -57.2% | |
| 0.0% | 56.2% | -56.2% | |
| 0.0% | 53.8% | -53.8% | |
| 0.0% | 43.2% | -43.2% | |
| 0.0% | 38.0% | -38.0% | |
| 0.0% | 35.9% | -35.9% | |
| 0.0% | 34.3% | -34.3% | |
| 0.0% | 33.4% | -33.4% | |
| 0.0% | 33.0% | -33.0% | |
| 0.0% | 32.3% | -32.3% |
Odds To Get A 1 Seed
Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | |
| 1.4% | 0.1% | 1.2% | |
| 1.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | |
| 99.4% | 98.9% | 0.5% | |
| 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 99.8% | 99.5% | 0.3% |
Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.0% | 12.1% | 3.0% | |
| 1.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% | |
| 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 99.4% | 99.0% | 0.4% | |
| 99.4% | 99.0% | 0.4% |
Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60.4% | 22.6% | 37.8% | |
| 99.4% | 94.3% | 5.1% | |
| 99.4% | 96.2% | 3.2% | |
| 3.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | |
| 99.8% | 97.6% | 2.2% | |
| 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | |
| 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.0% | 28.7% | -13.6% | |
| 12.7% | 24.7% | -12.0% | |
| 0.3% | 12.3% | -12.0% | |
| 0.8% | 8.7% | -7.9% | |
| 1.4% | 3.0% | -1.7% | |
| 0.0% | 0.9% | -0.9% | |
| 0.2% | 1.0% | -0.8% | |
| 0.1% | 0.8% | -0.7% | |
| 1.6% | 2.2% | -0.6% | |
| 0.4% | 0.8% | -0.4% |
Projected Avg. Seed
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.3 | 3.8 | -0.5 | |
| 10.1 | 10.6 | -0.5 | |
| 10.8 | 11.3 | -0.5 | |
| 3.5 | 4.0 | -0.4 | |
| 7.7 | 8.1 | -0.4 | |
| 9.8 | 10.2 | -0.3 | |
| 11.4 | 11.8 | -0.3 | |
| 11.2 | 11.5 | -0.3 | |
| 4.2 | 4.5 | -0.3 | |
| 11.5 | 11.8 | -0.3 |
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Decline Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.4 | 6.5 | 0.8 | |
| 8.9 | 8.3 | 0.6 | |
| 9.1 | 8.6 | 0.5 | |
| 8.6 | 8.1 | 0.5 | |
| 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | |
| 11.1 | 10.8 | 0.3 | |
| 11.5 | 11.2 | 0.3 | |
| 10.5 | 10.2 | 0.3 | |
| 5.1 | 4.7 | 0.3 | |
| 7.3 | 7.0 | 0.3 |
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.3 | 3.8 | -0.6 | |
| 10.1 | 10.5 | -0.3 | |
| 8.3 | 8.5 | -0.3 | |
| 7.9 | 8.1 | -0.2 | |
| 15.1 | 15.3 | -0.2 | |
| 5.6 | 5.8 | -0.2 | |
| 3.8 | 4.0 | -0.2 | |
| 5.1 | 5.2 | -0.2 | |
| 3.5 | 3.7 | -0.2 | |
| 8.6 | 8.7 | -0.1 |
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5 | 10.4 | 1.1 | |
| 10.5 | 9.7 | 0.8 | |
| 7.4 | 6.6 | 0.7 | |
| 10.1 | 9.4 | 0.7 | |
| 11.3 | 10.6 | 0.7 | |
| 11.5 | 10.8 | 0.6 | |
| 9.1 | 8.5 | 0.6 | |
| 8.9 | 8.3 | 0.6 | |
| 8.4 | 7.9 | 0.6 | |
| 10.8 | 10.3 | 0.5 |
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.6 | 8.4 | -2.8 | |
| 7.9 | 9.7 | -1.8 | |
| 2.8 | 4.2 | -1.4 | |
| 3.3 | 4.4 | -1.1 | |
| 8.4 | 9.5 | -1.1 | |
| 9.0 | 10.1 | -1.1 | |
| 5.2 | 6.1 | -1.0 | |
| 3.8 | 4.6 | -0.9 | |
| 7.7 | 8.5 | -0.8 | |
| 11.4 | 12.2 | -0.8 |
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5 | 7.5 | 2.9 | |
| 9.1 | 6.5 | 2.6 | |
| 7.4 | 5.0 | 2.4 | |
| 11.9 | 9.9 | 2.1 | |
| 4.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | |
| 10.1 | 8.5 | 1.6 | |
| 5.9 | 4.3 | 1.6 | |
| 11.7 | 10.5 | 1.3 | |
| 11.5 | 10.2 | 1.3 | |
| 11.1 | 9.9 | 1.2 |
NOTE: The WAC uses a KenPom-based method to seed its conference tournament. Seeding is based on a team's performance against their entire schedule, not just their conference games. Our projections do not cover this unique seeding method, and will simply seed teams based on projected conference record. Once the official bracket is set, we will use that.