This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2016-17 NCAA BB season.
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Basketball Bracketology Trends 2017
Every day, we run thousands of computer simulations of the college basketball season, including all remaining regular season games, all conference tournaments, NCAA selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself. Why this matters.
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 100.0% | 27.8% | 72.2% |
| Kent State | 100.0% | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| North Dakota | 100.0% | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| New Orleans | 100.0% | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Troy | 59.5% | 14.3% | 45.1% |
| N Mex State | 100.0% | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| Texas State | 40.5% | 6.6% | 34.0% |
| TX Southern | 100.0% | 74.1% | 25.9% |
| NC Central | 100.0% | 76.1% | 23.9% |
| Oklahoma St | 71.8% | 57.8% | 14.0% |
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Decline Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | 4.9% | 70.4% | -65.5% |
| TX-Arlington | 8.5% | 72.8% | -64.3% |
| CS Bakersfld | 0.1% | 45.5% | -45.5% |
| Davidson | 0.0% | 13.3% | -13.3% |
| Colorado St | 1.1% | 14.1% | -13.0% |
| Richmond | 0.3% | 10.3% | -10.0% |
| Northwestern | 75.4% | 84.5% | -9.1% |
| Central FL | 3.9% | 11.5% | -7.6% |
| Alabama | 2.2% | 9.3% | -7.1% |
| Connecticut | 0.0% | 4.8% | -4.8% |
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State | 100.0% | 5.7% | 94.3% |
| S Dakota St | 100.0% | 10.9% | 89.1% |
| UC Davis | 100.0% | 13.0% | 87.0% |
| Iona | 100.0% | 20.2% | 79.8% |
| North Dakota | 100.0% | 20.3% | 79.7% |
| N Kentucky | 100.0% | 20.7% | 79.3% |
| New Orleans | 100.0% | 27.5% | 72.5% |
| Troy | 59.5% | 5.0% | 54.5% |
| NC Central | 100.0% | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| E Tenn St | 100.0% | 55.5% | 44.5% |
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monmouth | 14.0% | 69.4% | -55.4% |
| TX-Arlington | 8.5% | 61.6% | -53.1% |
| Houston | 22.8% | 51.5% | -28.7% |
| Col Charlestn | 3.3% | 26.9% | -23.6% |
| Akron | 4.9% | 26.0% | -21.0% |
| NC-Grnsboro | 0.1% | 19.4% | -19.3% |
| Lehigh | 0.0% | 17.3% | -17.3% |
| Towson | 0.0% | 16.8% | -16.8% |
| Boise State | 0.2% | 14.1% | -13.9% |
| Syracuse | 4.0% | 16.4% | -12.3% |
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jksnville St | 100.0% | 3.2% | 96.8% |
| Kent State | 100.0% | 4.9% | 95.1% |
| N Kentucky | 100.0% | 8.0% | 92.0% |
| S Dakota St | 100.0% | 8.1% | 91.9% |
| UC Davis | 100.0% | 13.9% | 86.1% |
| Iona | 100.0% | 20.9% | 79.1% |
| North Dakota | 100.0% | 22.6% | 77.4% |
| New Orleans | 100.0% | 24.6% | 75.4% |
| Vanderbilt | 98.2% | 23.8% | 74.3% |
| Seton Hall | 98.0% | 27.6% | 70.4% |
Odds To Get An NCAA Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belmont | 1.3% | 72.7% | -71.4% |
| TX-Arlington | 8.5% | 63.3% | -54.8% |
| NC-Asheville | 0.0% | 52.9% | -52.9% |
| Monmouth | 14.0% | 64.4% | -50.4% |
| CS Bakersfld | 0.1% | 44.5% | -44.4% |
| Valparaiso | 0.1% | 42.9% | -42.8% |
| California | 27.4% | 69.2% | -41.8% |
| Akron | 4.9% | 44.5% | -39.5% |
| Syracuse | 4.0% | 33.5% | -29.5% |
| Boise State | 0.2% | 26.9% | -26.7% |
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis | 100.0% | 27.8% | 72.2% |
| Iowa State | 100.0% | 34.3% | 65.7% |
| Kent State | 100.0% | 35.7% | 64.3% |
| Arizona | 100.0% | 41.7% | 58.3% |
| North Dakota | 100.0% | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| New Orleans | 100.0% | 50.9% | 49.1% |
| N Mex State | 100.0% | 54.7% | 45.3% |
| Troy | 59.5% | 14.3% | 45.1% |
| Texas State | 40.5% | 6.6% | 34.0% |
| Duke | 100.0% | 67.7% | 32.3% |
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Decline Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State | 100.0% | 5.7% | 94.3% |
| Iowa State | 100.0% | 8.5% | 91.5% |
| S Dakota St | 100.0% | 10.9% | 89.1% |
| Duke | 100.0% | 11.9% | 88.1% |
| UC Davis | 100.0% | 13.0% | 87.0% |
| Arizona | 100.0% | 17.9% | 82.1% |
| Iona | 100.0% | 20.2% | 79.8% |
| North Dakota | 100.0% | 20.3% | 79.7% |
| N Kentucky | 100.0% | 20.7% | 79.3% |
| New Orleans | 100.0% | 27.5% | 72.5% |
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| S Methodist | 48.5% | 44.0% | 4.5% |
| Winthrop | 100.0% | 91.6% | 8.4% |
| San Diego St | 23.8% | 13.8% | 10.0% |
| Fla Gulf Cst | 100.0% | 88.5% | 11.5% |
| Yale | 26.8% | 13.9% | 12.9% |
| Arkansas | 19.2% | 5.1% | 14.1% |
| Cincinnati | 51.5% | 37.2% | 14.3% |
| VCU | 48.8% | 31.8% | 17.0% |
| Wichita St | 100.0% | 80.4% | 19.6% |
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jksnville St | 100.0% | 3.2% | 96.8% |
| Kent State | 100.0% | 4.9% | 95.1% |
| N Kentucky | 100.0% | 8.0% | 92.0% |
| S Dakota St | 100.0% | 8.1% | 91.9% |
| Iowa State | 100.0% | 9.1% | 90.9% |
| UC Davis | 100.0% | 13.9% | 86.1% |
| Duke | 100.0% | 20.2% | 79.8% |
| Iona | 100.0% | 20.9% | 79.1% |
| Arizona | 100.0% | 21.2% | 78.8% |
| North Dakota | 100.0% | 22.6% | 77.4% |
Odds To Get An Auto-Bid:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego St | 23.8% | 22.3% | 1.5% |
| Yale | 26.8% | 17.0% | 9.8% |
| S Methodist | 48.5% | 37.9% | 10.6% |
| Cincinnati | 51.5% | 40.9% | 10.6% |
| Arkansas | 19.2% | 3.1% | 16.2% |
| VCU | 48.8% | 29.9% | 18.9% |
| Princeton | 73.2% | 49.9% | 23.3% |
| Gonzaga | 100.0% | 76.0% | 24.0% |
| Wichita St | 100.0% | 74.6% | 25.4% |
| Vermont | 100.0% | 73.0% | 27.0% |
Odds To Get A 1 Seed
Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 34.5% | 32.1% | 2.4% |
| Villanova | 94.2% | 92.1% | 2.1% |
| Arizona | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Gonzaga | 92.8% | 91.3% | 1.5% |
| Kansas | 92.8% | 91.7% | 1.2% |
| Baylor | 5.1% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Duke | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Cincinnati | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Decline Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 22.0% | 30.4% | -8.4% |
| N Carolina | 31.6% | 33.5% | -1.9% |
| W Virginia | 3.0% | 3.7% | -0.8% |
| Florida St | 3.8% | 4.0% | -0.2% |
Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzaga | 92.8% | 80.2% | 12.6% |
| Villanova | 94.2% | 87.9% | 6.3% |
| Arizona | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Kentucky | 34.5% | 32.6% | 1.9% |
| Duke | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| Cincinnati | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| N Carolina | 31.6% | 39.2% | -7.6% |
| Oregon | 22.0% | 27.8% | -5.8% |
| UCLA | 3.4% | 5.9% | -2.4% |
| Butler | 3.9% | 6.3% | -2.4% |
| Florida | 1.1% | 2.6% | -1.5% |
| Kansas | 92.8% | 94.1% | -1.3% |
| Baylor | 5.1% | 6.4% | -1.3% |
| Louisville | 1.1% | 1.9% | -0.8% |
| S Methodist | 1.0% | 1.5% | -0.6% |
| Florida St | 3.8% | 4.4% | -0.5% |
Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 34.5% | 13.8% | 20.7% |
| Oregon | 22.0% | 8.8% | 13.2% |
| Villanova | 94.2% | 86.1% | 8.2% |
| Kansas | 92.8% | 85.0% | 7.8% |
| N Carolina | 31.6% | 31.1% | 0.5% |
Odds To Get A 1 Seed:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 1.1% | 11.5% | -10.4% |
| Louisville | 1.1% | 9.8% | -8.7% |
| Duke | 2.0% | 9.3% | -7.3% |
| W Virginia | 3.0% | 8.6% | -5.6% |
| Butler | 3.9% | 7.3% | -3.4% |
| Purdue | 0.7% | 3.7% | -3.0% |
| Gonzaga | 92.8% | 95.5% | -2.7% |
| Baylor | 5.1% | 6.9% | -1.8% |
| Maryland | 0.0% | 1.5% | -1.5% |
| Wisconsin | 0.0% | 1.4% | -1.4% |
Projected Avg. Seed
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Gain Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 6.4 | 6.8 | -0.4 |
| Rhode Island | 10.0 | 10.4 | -0.3 |
| Valparaiso | 13.1 | 13.5 | -0.3 |
| Arizona | 2.9 | 3.2 | -0.3 |
| Arkansas | 7.4 | 7.6 | -0.2 |
| Middle Tenn | 10.4 | 10.6 | -0.2 |
| Yale | 14.1 | 14.3 | -0.2 |
| Duke | 3.6 | 3.7 | -0.2 |
| Michigan | 9.1 | 9.3 | -0.2 |
| NC-Grnsboro | 13.7 | 13.8 | -0.2 |
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Decline Since Yesterday
| Team | Now | Yesterday | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| TX-Arlington | 12.1 | 11.5 | 0.6 |
| Northwestern | 10.9 | 10.3 | 0.6 |
| Minnesota | 6.7 | 6.4 | 0.3 |
| Central FL | 12.2 | 11.9 | 0.3 |
| Clemson | 12.6 | 12.3 | 0.3 |
| Alabama | 12.6 | 12.3 | 0.3 |
| Akron | 12.5 | 12.2 | 0.3 |
| Richmond | 12.9 | 12.6 | 0.3 |
| Creighton | 6.7 | 6.4 | 0.3 |
| Syracuse | 10.9 | 10.7 | 0.2 |
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 6.4 | 7.1 | -0.7 |
| Duke | 3.6 | 4.3 | -0.7 |
| Michigan | 9.1 | 9.8 | -0.7 |
| Wisconsin | 6.3 | 6.8 | -0.5 |
| Cincinnati | 4.2 | 4.7 | -0.5 |
| Arizona | 2.9 | 3.4 | -0.5 |
| Rhode Island | 10.0 | 10.4 | -0.3 |
| Notre Dame | 6.5 | 6.8 | -0.3 |
| Vanderbilt | 10.3 | 10.5 | -0.3 |
| NC-Wilmgton | 10.0 | 10.2 | -0.2 |
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago
| Team | Now | 1 Week Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern | 10.9 | 9.7 | 1.1 |
| Ohio State | 12.7 | 11.7 | 1.1 |
| Clemson | 12.6 | 11.6 | 1.1 |
| Syracuse | 10.9 | 9.9 | 1.0 |
| Pittsburgh | 13.1 | 12.1 | 1.0 |
| Houston | 11.4 | 10.4 | 1.0 |
| Indiana | 12.7 | 11.8 | 0.9 |
| Colorado | 13.1 | 12.2 | 0.8 |
| Utah | 12.2 | 11.4 | 0.8 |
| Boise State | 13.0 | 12.2 | 0.8 |
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State | 6.4 | 8.6 | -2.2 |
| Minnesota | 6.7 | 8.0 | -1.3 |
| Seton Hall | 10.0 | 11.1 | -1.2 |
| Kentucky | 1.9 | 2.8 | -0.9 |
| Oregon | 2.1 | 3.0 | -0.9 |
| Wake Forest | 11.2 | 12.1 | -0.9 |
| Miami (FL) | 9.7 | 10.5 | -0.8 |
| Florida St | 3.1 | 3.9 | -0.8 |
| Arkansas | 7.4 | 8.2 | -0.8 |
| Rhode Island | 10.0 | 10.8 | -0.7 |
Projected Avg. Seed:
Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago
| Team | Now | 3 Weeks Ago | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | 12.6 | 10.0 | 2.6 |
| Xavier | 10.4 | 8.2 | 2.2 |
| Pittsburgh | 13.1 | 10.9 | 2.2 |
| VCU | 8.5 | 6.5 | 1.9 |
| San Diego St | 13.5 | 11.6 | 1.9 |
| Boise State | 13.0 | 11.2 | 1.8 |
| Creighton | 6.7 | 5.0 | 1.7 |
| California | 12.1 | 10.4 | 1.7 |
| Syracuse | 10.9 | 9.2 | 1.7 |
| Tennessee | 13.0 | 11.4 | 1.6 |