Projected NCAA Tournament Wins By Conference (not counting play-in games)

Conference Projected Wins
Big Ten 15.2
Big 12 13.3
SEC 13.3
ACC 10.0
Big East 4.8
WCC 2.8
Mountain West 1.0
Atlantic 10 0.9
American 0.3
MAC 0.2
Ivy 0.2
Conference Projected Wins
Big South 0.2
Southland 0.2
MVC 0.2
CAA 0.1
Big West 0.1
WAC 0.1
Summit 0.1
Sun Belt 0.1
CUSA 0.0
Horizon League 0.0
Big Sky 0.0
Conference Projected Wins
Southern 0.0
Ohio Valley 0.0
MAAC 0.0
Northeast 0.0
ASUN 0.0
America East 0.0
MEAC 0.0
Patriot 0.0
SWAC 0.0

Big Ten Conference (15.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
1 3
Michigan (31-2)
 36-3 100% 100% 100% 89% 69% 53% 35% 23%
2 7
Michigan St (25-7)
 27-8 100% 100% 95% 59% 29% 11% 4% 2%
4 14
Illinois (24-8)
 28-9 100% 100% 95% 63% 34% 17% 8% 4%
4 15
Nebraska (26-6)
 28-7 100% 100% 87% 44% 16% 5% 2% 0%
5 18
Purdue (26-8)
 29-9 100% 100% 92% 64% 32% 17% 8% 4%
6 21
Wisconsin (24-10)
 25-10 100% 100% 72% 32% 10% 3% 1% 0%
8 31
UCLA (23-11)
 24-12 100% 99% 57% 18% 7% 2% 1% 0%
10 37
Ohio St (21-12)
 22-12 100% 98% 56% 15% 6% 2% 0% 0%
10 40
Iowa (21-12)
 23-14 99% 90% 45% 15% 6% 2% 0% 0%
Indiana (18-14)
 18-14 17% 13% 5% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
USC (18-14)
 18-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northwestern (15-19)
 15-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington (16-17)
 16-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Penn St (12-20)
 12-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rutgers (14-19)
 14-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland (12-21)
 12-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon (12-20)
 12-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Minnesota (15-17)
 15-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big 12 Conference (13.3 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
1 2
Arizona (32-2)
 36-3 100% 100% 100% 83% 62% 48% 30% 18%
2 6
Houston (28-6)
 30-7 100% 100% 99% 77% 52% 25% 11% 5%
3 11
Iowa St (27-7)
 29-8 100% 100% 96% 70% 37% 17% 8% 3%
4 16
Kansas (23-10)
 24-11 100% 100% 85% 43% 14% 5% 2% 0%
5 17
Texas Tech (22-10)
 23-11 100% 100% 84% 43% 15% 6% 2% 1%
6 23
BYU (23-11)
 24-11 100% 100% 67% 24% 10% 3% 1% 0%
8 30
UCF (21-11)
 21-12 95% 92% 31% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
9 36
TCU (22-11)
 22-13 85% 82% 34% 6% 2% 0% 0% 0%
Cincinnati (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma St (19-14)
 21-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arizona St (17-16)
 17-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
West Virginia (18-14)
 19-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado (17-15)
 17-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Baylor (16-16)
 17-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas St (12-20)
 12-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah (10-22)
 10-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Southeastern Conference (13.3 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
1 4
Florida (26-7)
 28-7 100% 100% 99% 81% 52% 31% 16% 8%
3 10
Alabama (23-9)
 25-10 100% 100% 92% 55% 25% 10% 4% 1%
3 12
Vanderbilt (26-7)
 27-8 100% 100% 93% 60% 31% 14% 6% 3%
4 13
Arkansas (25-8)
 27-9 100% 100% 90% 51% 21% 8% 3% 1%
6 22
Tennessee (22-11)
 24-13 100% 100% 79% 37% 15% 6% 2% 1%
7 28
Georgia (22-10)
 23-10 100% 100% 59% 17% 7% 2% 1% 0%
8 32
Kentucky (21-13)
 22-14 100% 99% 62% 18% 8% 2% 1% 0%
10 39
Missouri (20-12)
 20-13 77% 71% 26% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0%
11 42
Auburn (17-16)
 21-17 98% 89% 40% 11% 4% 1% 0% 0%
Texas A&M (21-11)
 22-12 82% 75% 34% 8% 3% 1% 0% 0%
Texas (18-14)
 19-17 40% 34% 14% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Oklahoma (19-15)
 21-16 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi St (13-19)
 13-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
LSU (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
South Carolina (13-19)
 13-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mississippi (15-20)
 15-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Atlantic Coast Conference (10.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
1 1
Duke (32-2)
 35-3 100% 100% 100% 87% 66% 50% 33% 20%
3 9
Virginia (29-5)
 30-6 100% 100% 92% 53% 21% 6% 2% 0%
5 20
North Carolina (24-8)
 25-8 100% 100% 73% 30% 8% 3% 1% 0%
7 26
Miami (25-8)
 26-9 90% 89% 48% 11% 4% 1% 0% 0%
7 27
Louisville (23-10)
 24-11 100% 100% 70% 29% 14% 6% 2% 1%
9 33
Clemson (24-10)
 24-11 98% 96% 47% 10% 3% 1% 0% 0%
9 34
NC State (20-13)
 21-13 100% 97% 46% 10% 3% 1% 0% 0%
11 43
SMU (20-13)
 21-13 91% 79% 31% 8% 3% 1% 0% 0%
Stanford (20-12)
 20-13 17% 14% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Virginia Tech (19-13)
 19-13 6% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
California (21-11)
 23-11 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida St (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wake Forest (17-16)
 19-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pittsburgh (13-20)
 13-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Notre Dame (13-18)
 13-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia Tech (11-20)
 11-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston College (11-20)
 11-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Syracuse (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big East Conference (4.8 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
2 5
UConn (29-5)
 32-8 100% 100% 96% 63% 32% 12% 5% 2%
2 8
St John's (28-6)
 30-7 100% 100% 93% 57% 28% 11% 4% 2%
7 25
Villanova (24-8)
 24-9 100% 100% 55% 15% 4% 1% 0% 0%
Seton Hall (21-12)
 21-12 7% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Creighton (15-17)
 16-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgetown (16-18)
 16-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Butler (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Providence (15-18)
 15-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Xavier (15-18)
 15-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
DePaul (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marquette (12-20)
 12-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

West Coast Conference (2.8 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
5 19
Gonzaga (30-3)
 32-3 100% 100% 88% 53% 24% 12% 5% 2%
8 29
Saint Mary's (27-5)
 28-5 98% 96% 48% 11% 4% 1% 0% 0%
11 41
Santa Clara (26-8)
 26-9 93% 73% 24% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Seattle (20-13)
 21-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland (15-19)
 15-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Mymt (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Francisco (17-16)
 17-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pepperdine (9-23)
 9-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Pacific (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Diego (12-21)
 12-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Washington St (12-20)
 12-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oregon St (17-16)
 17-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Mountain West Conference (1.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
6 24
Utah St (28-6)
 29-7 100% 100% 55% 15% 5% 1% 0% 0%
11 44
San Diego St (22-11)
 22-11 75% 57% 16% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0%
Boise St (20-12)
 20-12 9% 7% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico (23-10)
 26-11 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nevada (22-12)
 24-13 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grand Canyon (20-12)
 20-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colorado St (21-12)
 22-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UNLV (17-16)
 18-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wyoming (18-14)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
San Jose St (9-24)
 9-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Air Force (3-29)
 3-29 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fresno St (13-19)
 13-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Atlantic 10 Conference (0.9 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
10 38
VCU (26-7)
 26-9 98% 92% 33% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0%
12 47
Dayton (23-10)
 25-11 51% 40% 8% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Louis (28-5)
 29-6 61% 61% 33% 9% 3% 1% 0% 0%
George Mason (23-9)
 24-9 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Joseph's (22-11)
 23-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
G Washington (18-15)
 19-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Davidson (20-13)
 20-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fordham (17-15)
 17-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
La Salle (9-23)
 9-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola Chi (9-24)
 9-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rhode Island (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Bonaventure (17-17)
 17-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Duquesne (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Richmond (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

American Athletic Conference (0.3 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
9 35
S Florida (24-8)
 24-9 70% 70% 24% 3% 1% 0% 0% 0%
12 48
Wichita St (22-10)
 23-12 36% 30% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulsa (26-7)
 29-9 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tulane (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Atlantic (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Temple (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Texas (19-14)
 19-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rice (13-18)
 13-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UTSA (5-25)
 5-25 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UAB (20-12)
 20-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Memphis (13-19)
 13-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Carolina (11-20)
 11-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charlotte (17-17)
 17-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Mid-American Conference (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
12 46
Akron (29-5)
 29-6 100% 81% 18% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Toledo (19-15)
 19-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kent St (24-9)
 24-10 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miami OH (31-1)
 31-3 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Buffalo (17-15)
 17-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Michigan (10-21)
 10-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ball St (12-19)
 12-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UMass (17-16)
 17-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Ohio (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Illinois (9-21)
 9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bowling Green (18-14)
 18-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Michigan (10-21)
 10-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
C Michigan (10-21)
 10-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Ivy League (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
11 45
Yale (24-5)
 25-5 77% 70% 14% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Penn (17-11)
 17-12 23% 23% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Princeton (9-20)
 9-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Dartmouth (11-16)
 11-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Brown (9-18)
 9-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Harvard (17-12)
 17-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Columbia (16-12)
 16-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cornell (15-13)
 15-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big South Conference (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
14 55
High Point (30-4)
 30-6 100% 100% 14% 3% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Winthrop (23-11)
 23-11 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Presbyterian (15-18)
 15-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Gardner-Webb (4-29)
 4-29 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Longwood (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
SC Upstate (13-19)
 13-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Asheville (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charleston So (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Radford (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Southland Conference (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
13 51
McNeese (28-5)
 28-6 100% 95% 13% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
SF Austin (28-5)
 28-6 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Texas A&M (11-21)
 11-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Orleans (15-18)
 15-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hou Christian (12-20)
 12-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Louisiana (9-22)
 9-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Incarnate Word (12-19)
 12-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas A&M-CC (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Nicholls (14-19)
 14-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UT Rio Grande (19-14)
 19-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lamar (12-19)
 12-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NW State (10-22)
 10-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Missouri Valley Conference (0.2 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
13 52
N Iowa (23-12)
 23-13 100% 95% 13% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Belmont (26-6)
 26-6 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois St (20-12)
 21-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Murray St (20-12)
 20-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bradley (21-12)
 21-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Illinois Chicago (19-15)
 19-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drake (14-20)
 14-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Illinois (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Evansville (7-25)
 7-25 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Indiana St (11-21)
 11-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Valparaiso (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Coastal Athletic Association (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
12 49
Hofstra (24-10)
 24-11 100% 92% 9% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Charleston (21-11)
 21-11 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Wilmington (26-6)
 27-7 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Towson (19-15)
 19-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Monmouth (19-15)
 19-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Campbell (16-18)
 16-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Northeastern (7-24)
 7-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stony Brook (17-15)
 17-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC A&T (11-19)
 11-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Hampton (13-19)
 13-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Drexel (17-16)
 17-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
William & Mary (20-12)
 20-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Elon (14-18)
 14-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big West Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
13 53
Hawai'i (24-8)
 24-9 100% 99% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Irvine (23-11)
 24-11 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCSD (23-11)
 23-11 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Riverside (10-22)
 10-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UC Davis (19-14)
 19-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Fullerton (18-16)
 18-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Bakersfield (8-24)
 8-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cal Poly (14-19)
 14-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Long Beach St (10-22)
 10-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UCSB (18-14)
 18-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
CS Northridge (20-14)
 20-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Western Athletic Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

The WAC uses a KenPom-based method to seed its conference tournament. Seeding is based on a team's performance against their entire schedule, not just their conference games. Our projections do not cover this unique seeding method, and will simply seed teams based on projected conference record. Once the official bracket is set, we will use that.
Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
12 50
Cal Baptist (25-8)
 25-9 100% 94% 6% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Valley (25-8)
 26-8 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tarleton St (14-18)
 14-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UT Arlington (18-14)
 18-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Utah Tech (19-15)
 19-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Abl Christian (14-19)
 14-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Utah (10-22)
 10-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Summit Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
14 56
N Dakota St (27-7)
 27-8 100% 100% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oral Roberts (10-23)
 10-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
North Dakota (18-17)
 18-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Dakota St (14-18)
 14-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Denver (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Kansas City (4-27)
 4-27 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Thomas (24-9)
 24-10 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
South Dakota (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Omaha (16-17)
 16-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Sun Belt Conference (0.1 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
13 54
Troy (22-11)
 22-12 100% 99% 5% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Arkansas St (20-12)
 20-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marshall (19-13)
 19-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia St (10-22)
 10-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coastal Car (19-13)
 19-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Louisiana (11-22)
 11-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Alabama (21-11)
 21-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
J Madison (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Old Dominion (12-21)
 12-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Southern Miss (19-16)
 19-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Georgia So (21-16)
 21-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UL Monroe (4-28)
 4-28 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
App State (19-13)
 19-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas St (19-13)
 19-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Conference USA (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
14 58
Kennesaw St (21-13)
 21-14 100% 100% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Liberty (25-7)
 26-8 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sam Houston (22-11)
 22-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville St (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida Intl (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Kentucky (18-14)
 18-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Middle Tenn (17-15)
 17-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Mexico St (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UTEP (11-20)
 11-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Louisiana Tech (20-14)
 20-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Missouri St (16-18)
 16-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware (10-21)
 10-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Horizon (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
14 57
Wright St (23-11)
 23-12 100% 100% 4% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Green Bay (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Kentucky (20-14)
 20-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Milwaukee (12-20)
 12-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Robert Morris (22-11)
 22-11 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Cleveland St (11-22)
 11-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Youngstown St (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Detroit Mercy (17-15)
 17-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Oakland (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
IU Indy (7-25)
 7-26 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Purdue FW (17-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Big Sky Conference (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
15 62
Idaho (21-14)
 21-15 100% 100% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Colorado (20-12)
 20-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Idaho St (13-20)
 13-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Arizona (10-22)
 10-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sacramento St (10-21)
 10-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Weber St (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana (18-16)
 18-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Montana St (18-14)
 18-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Portland St (20-11)
 20-11 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Washington (14-19)
 14-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Southern Conference (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
15 60
Furman (22-12)
 22-13 100% 100% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
VMI (6-26)
 6-26 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Samford (18-14)
 18-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercer (19-13)
 19-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
The Citadel (11-22)
 11-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Greensboro (15-19)
 15-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chattanooga (13-19)
 13-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Carolina (15-16)
 15-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Tennessee St (23-11)
 23-11 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wofford (19-13)
 19-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Ohio Valley Conference (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
15 59
Tennessee St (23-9)
 23-10 100% 100% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Illinois (13-20)
 14-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Tenn Tech (13-18)
 13-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UT Martin (22-11)
 22-11 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
SE Missouri St (20-13)
 20-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morehead St (20-13)
 20-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
SIU Edward (19-13)
 19-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Little Rock (12-20)
 12-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Illinois (5-26)
 5-26 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lindenwood (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Indiana (7-23)
 7-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
15 61
Siena (23-11)
 23-12 100% 100% 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Merrimack (23-11)
 23-11 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mt St Mary's (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Fairfield (21-13)
 21-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Iona (18-14)
 18-14 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Saint Peter's (17-12)
 17-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Canisius (10-21)
 10-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Marist (19-12)
 19-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Quinnipiac (19-13)
 19-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Sacred Heart (14-19)
 14-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Manhattan (12-20)
 12-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Rider (4-25)
 4-25 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Niagara (8-22)
 8-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Northeast Conference (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
16 65
LIU (24-10)
 24-11 100% 96% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Wagner (14-17)
 14-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Chicago St (7-25)
 7-25 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
C Connecticut (18-12)
 18-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stonehill (12-21)
 12-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
St Francis PA (7-24)
 7-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
F Dickinson (11-21)
 11-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Le Moyne (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Mercyhurst (17-17)
 17-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Haven (14-17)
 14-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

ASUN Conference (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
16 67
Queens (21-13)
 21-14 100% 92% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
E Kentucky (11-21)
 11-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Austin Peay (22-9)
 22-9 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
C Arkansas (22-12)
 22-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bellarmine (13-19)
 13-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Florida (7-25)
 7-25 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Stetson (12-21)
 12-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jacksonville (12-20)
 12-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lipscomb (19-13)
 19-13 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
FGCU (16-18)
 16-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
N Alabama (9-21)
 9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
W Georgia (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

America East Conference (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
16 63
UMBC (24-8)
 25-8 100% 83% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
UMass Lowell (15-18)
 15-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NJIT (16-17)
 16-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bryant (9-22)
 9-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Albany (11-21)
 11-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maine (8-24)
 8-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Vermont (22-12)
 22-12 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Binghamton (8-23)
 8-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
New Hampshire (9-21)
 9-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
16 64
Howard (23-10)
 23-12 100% 68% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
NC Central (14-18)
 14-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Delaware St (8-23)
 8-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Morgan St (14-16)
 14-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
S Carolina St (10-22)
 10-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Maryland ES (9-23)
 9-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Coppin St (7-24)
 7-24 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Norfolk St (15-17)
 15-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Patriot League (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
16 68
Lehigh (18-16)
 19-16 100% 33% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Lafayette (11-21)
 11-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Colgate (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bucknell (10-23)
 10-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Army (11-21)
 11-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Navy (26-7)
 26-8 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
American (16-16)
 16-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Holy Cross (11-22)
 11-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Loyola MD (12-20)
 12-20 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Boston U (17-17)
 17-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Southwestern Athletic Conference (0.0 Projected NCAA Tournament Wins)

Projected Seed Current Record & Projected Finish NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
Seed S-Curve Team Proj W/L Bid R64 R32 S16 E8 F4 Champ Win
16 66
Prairie View (18-17)
 18-19 100% 28% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Grambling (14-19)
 14-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Southern (17-17)
 17-17 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Texas So (12-18)
 12-18 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alcorn St (9-23)
 9-23 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama St (10-22)
 10-22 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Jackson St (12-21)
 12-21 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
AR-Pine Bluff (13-19)
 13-19 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Miss Valley St (3-30)
 3-30 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Alabama A&M (18-15)
 18-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Bethune (17-15)
 17-15 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Florida A&M (15-16)
 15-16 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%