View Xavier bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

37.8%

Automatic Bid

4.8%

At Large Bid

32.9%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (4.8%)

Final Four

0.9%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.5%
21 99.2%
20 96.2%
19 87.3%
18 69.4%
17 39.3%
16 12.7%
15 1.7%
14 0.3%
13 0.3%
OVERALL 37.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 1.0%
2 1.3% 0.6%
3 2.1% 0.3%
4 2.9% 0.2%
5 3.6% 0.1%
6 4.2% 0.1%
7 4.6% 0.1%
8 4.8% 0.0%
9 4.6% 0.0%
10 4.0% 0.0%
11 3.2% 0.0%
12 1.9% 0.0%
13 0.3% 0.0%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.