View Xavier bracketology projections from another date: Today | Yesterday | Last Week

Make Tournament

51.1%

Automatic Bid

18.0%

At Large Bid

33.1%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (5.3%)

Final Four

2.3%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.5%
18 96.9%
17 85.1%
16 61.9%
15 30.3%
14 9.3%
13 1.3%
12 0.7%
11 0.4%
10 0.0%
OVERALL 51.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.5% 1.7%
2 5.3% 0.8%
3 5.3% 0.4%
4 4.5% 0.3%
5 3.8% 0.3%
6 3.8% 0.2%
7 4.3% 0.1%
8 4.4% 0.1%
9 4.2% 0.1%
10 3.7% 0.1%
11 3.1% 0.1%
12 2.8% 0.0%
13 1.5% 0.0%
14 0.7% 0.0%
15 0.3% 0.0%
16 0.1% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.