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Make Tournament

94.2%

Automatic Bid

8.4%

At Large Bid

85.8%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (24.9%)

Final Four

1.7%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
22 100.0%
21 99.6%
20 98.4%
19 95.0%
18 81.5%
OVERALL 94.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.1% -
4 0.3% 0.2%
5 1.1% 0.2%
6 3.2% 0.2%
7 6.9% 0.2%
8 13.1% 0.1%
9 21.2% 0.1%
10 24.9% 0.1%
11 17.5% 0.1%
12 5.7% 0.1%
13 0.3% 0.1%
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.