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Make Tournament

88.1%

Automatic Bid

22.7%

At Large Bid

65.3%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (21.0%)

Final Four

16.2%

NCAA Champs

5.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 100.0%
15 99.7%
14 96.7%
13 83.7%
12 53.5%
11 15.1%
10 3.1%
9 0.1%
OVERALL 88.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 21.0% 12.0%
2 13.3% 6.2%
3 9.2% 4.1%
4 6.6% 2.8%
5 5.3% 2.4%
6 5.1% 1.8%
7 5.0% 1.6%
8 4.5% 1.1%
9 4.0% 0.8%
10 3.7% 1.0%
11 3.5% 1.0%
12 3.5% 0.7%
13 2.1% 0.4%
14 1.0% 0.4%
15 0.3% 0.4%
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 5.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.