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Make Tournament

93.6%

Automatic Bid

10.3%

At Large Bid

83.3%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (20.2%)

Final Four

16.1%

NCAA Champs

3.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.8%
22 98.0%
21 84.3%
20 40.2%
19 7.7%
18 0.9%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 93.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 16.2% 8.2%
2 20.2% 4.7%
3 15.4% 3.2%
4 10.5% 2.2%
5 6.9% 1.7%
6 6.5% 1.6%
7 7.5% 1.2%
8 5.0% 0.9%
9 2.8% 0.7%
10 1.5% 0.7%
11 0.8% 0.8%
12 0.4% 0.5%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.