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Make Tournament

77.5%

Automatic Bid

8.6%

At Large Bid

69.0%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (15.0%)

Final Four

1.4%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
18 100.0%
17 97.4%
16 88.4%
15 59.0%
OVERALL 77.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.8% 0.3%
4 2.1% 0.2%
5 4.2% 0.2%
6 7.4% 0.1%
7 11.3% 0.1%
8 14.5% 0.1%
9 15.0% 0.1%
10 12.0% 0.1%
11 7.3% 0.1%
12 2.5% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.