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Make Tournament

27.4%

Automatic Bid

19.0%

At Large Bid

8.4%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (4.4%)

Final Four

0.3%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.8%
26 98.5%
25 92.3%
24 77.4%
23 59.8%
22 43.1%
21 27.3%
20 16.8%
19 11.3%
18 7.2%
17 3.2%
16 2.6%
15 1.2%
14 1.4%
OVERALL 27.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.3% 0.4%
3 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.9% 0.1%
5 1.2% 0.1%
6 1.3% 0.0%
7 1.5% 0.0%
8 1.7% 0.0%
9 2.0% 0.0%
10 2.3% 0.0%
11 2.9% 0.0%
12 4.4% 0.0%
13 4.3% 0.0%
14 2.7% 0.0%
15 1.0% 0.0%
16 0.2% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.