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Make Tournament

86.2%

Automatic Bid

19.6%

At Large Bid

66.6%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (12.4%)

Final Four

9.2%

NCAA Champs

1.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.6%
23 96.0%
22 79.4%
21 35.0%
20 6.4%
19 0.7%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 86.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 10.0% 4.9%
2 12.4% 2.8%
3 12.1% 1.8%
4 10.2% 1.2%
5 7.7% 1.0%
6 6.4% 0.8%
7 7.2% 0.6%
8 6.6% 0.5%
9 5.0% 0.4%
10 3.7% 0.3%
11 2.6% 0.3%
12 1.7% 0.2%
13 0.5% 0.1%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.