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Make Tournament

53.5%

Automatic Bid

5.8%

At Large Bid

47.7%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (6.3%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.9%
21 99.3%
20 92.7%
19 66.0%
18 24.9%
17 4.4%
16 0.6%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 53.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.6% 1.5%
2 1.6% 0.7%
3 2.8% 0.4%
4 3.9% 0.3%
5 4.5% 0.2%
6 4.8% 0.2%
7 5.7% 0.1%
8 6.3% 0.1%
9 6.2% 0.1%
10 5.7% 0.1%
11 5.1% 0.1%
12 4.4% 0.0%
13 1.6% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.