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Make Tournament

92.8%

Automatic Bid

18.6%

At Large Bid

74.2%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (20.2%)

Final Four

16.3%

NCAA Champs

4.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 99.3%
15 96.2%
14 78.8%
13 48.2%
12 16.3%
11 4.0%
OVERALL 92.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 20.2% 12.3%
2 14.9% 6.1%
3 11.5% 3.9%
4 9.0% 2.6%
5 7.4% 2.0%
6 6.2% 1.3%
7 5.3% 1.1%
8 4.6% 0.9%
9 4.0% 0.6%
10 3.5% 0.6%
11 3.1% 0.5%
12 2.4% 0.2%
13 0.6% 0.3%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.