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Make Tournament

50.1%

Automatic Bid

5.5%

At Large Bid

44.6%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (7.4%)

Final Four

2.4%

NCAA Champs

0.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 99.9%
15 99.2%
14 95.9%
13 82.3%
12 59.3%
11 26.0%
10 6.0%
9 0.7%
8 0.0%
OVERALL 50.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.0% 5.0%
2 2.0% 2.1%
3 2.9% 1.3%
4 3.0% 0.7%
5 2.9% 0.5%
6 3.0% 0.4%
7 3.6% 0.3%
8 4.3% 0.2%
9 4.9% 0.1%
10 5.5% 0.1%
11 6.4% 0.0%
12 7.4% 0.0%
13 2.8% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.