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Make Tournament

30.8%

Automatic Bid

2.8%

At Large Bid

28.1%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (3.6%)

Final Four

0.7%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
8 100.0%
7 100.0%
6 99.0%
5 93.9%
4 72.9%
3 29.1%
2 2.1%
OVERALL 30.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 0.4% 0.4%
3 0.9% 0.2%
4 1.3% 0.2%
5 1.8% 0.2%
6 2.3% 0.1%
7 2.6% 0.1%
8 2.6% 0.0%
9 2.6% 0.0%
10 2.6% 0.1%
11 2.8% 0.0%
12 3.6% 0.0%
13 3.1% 0.0%
14 2.4% 0.0%
15 1.4% 0.0%
16 0.4% 0.0%
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.