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Make Tournament

96.2%

Automatic Bid

25.7%

At Large Bid

70.4%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (27.3%)

Final Four

16.0%

NCAA Champs

3.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.9%
24 99.6%
23 95.7%
22 76.6%
21 34.4%
20 6.5%
19 0.6%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 96.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 27.3% 6.2%
2 23.5% 3.3%
3 15.1% 2.2%
4 8.6% 1.5%
5 5.1% 1.1%
6 4.9% 1.0%
7 5.3% 0.8%
8 3.3% 0.6%
9 1.7% 0.5%
10 0.9% 0.4%
11 0.4% 0.2%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 3.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.