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Make Tournament

19.8%

Automatic Bid

1.6%

At Large Bid

18.2%

Most Likely Seed

#7 (2.5%)

Final Four

0.6%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.8%
17 98.9%
16 95.2%
15 80.8%
14 52.3%
13 20.3%
12 4.7%
11 0.4%
10 0.0%
OVERALL 19.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.5% 0.4%
2 1.2% 0.2%
3 1.7% 0.2%
4 1.9% 0.1%
5 2.2% 0.0%
6 2.4% 0.0%
7 2.5% 0.0%
8 2.3% 0.0%
9 1.9% 0.0%
10 1.5% 0.0%
11 1.0% 0.0%
12 0.6% 0.0%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.