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Make Tournament

54.4%

Automatic Bid

1.4%

At Large Bid

53.0%

Most Likely Seed

#8 (6.5%)

Final Four

2.1%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 99.7%
22 97.2%
21 82.7%
20 42.5%
19 8.8%
18 1.1%
17 0.1%
16 0.0%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 54.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.6% 1.7%
2 1.6% 1.0%
3 2.8% 0.6%
4 4.1% 0.4%
5 4.9% 0.3%
6 4.9% 0.2%
7 5.6% 0.2%
8 6.5% 0.1%
9 6.4% 0.1%
10 5.8% 0.1%
11 5.1% 0.1%
12 4.3% 0.1%
13 1.4% 0.0%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.