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Make Tournament

41.1%

Automatic Bid

11.8%

At Large Bid

29.2%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (6.9%)

Final Four

1.0%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.5%
26 91.9%
25 63.5%
24 29.3%
23 8.9%
22 2.1%
21 0.3%
20 0.2%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
OVERALL 41.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 0.7% 0.4%
3 1.9% 0.3%
4 3.6% 0.2%
5 5.6% 0.1%
6 6.9% 0.1%
7 5.8% 0.1%
8 4.6% 0.1%
9 3.9% 0.0%
10 3.2% 0.0%
11 2.4% 0.0%
12 1.6% 0.0%
13 0.6% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.