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Make Tournament

46.2%

Automatic Bid

10.2%

At Large Bid

36.0%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (6.5%)

Final Four

0.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 96.8%
23 81.7%
22 43.2%
21 10.3%
20 0.8%
19 0.0%
18 0.0%
17 0.0%
OVERALL 46.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.4% 0.2%
5 2.5% 0.1%
6 3.7% 0.1%
7 4.4% 0.1%
8 5.0% 0.0%
9 5.8% 0.0%
10 6.2% 0.0%
11 6.4% 0.0%
12 6.5% 0.0%
13 2.8% 0.0%
14 0.6% 0.0%
15 0.1% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.