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Make Tournament

99.8%

Automatic Bid

57.5%

At Large Bid

42.3%

Most Likely Seed

#10 (22.5%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
16 100.0%
15 99.0%
OVERALL 99.8%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.1% -
3 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.2%
5 2.0% 0.2%
6 4.3% 0.2%
7 8.4% 0.2%
8 14.3% 0.1%
9 20.1% 0.1%
10 22.5% 0.2%
11 18.8% 0.1%
12 8.0% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.