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Make Tournament

27.2%

Automatic Bid

4.0%

At Large Bid

23.1%

Most Likely Seed

#9 (3.3%)

Final Four

0.6%

NCAA Champs

0.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 99.8%
24 99.9%
23 98.7%
22 93.2%
21 77.8%
20 54.7%
19 27.4%
18 10.5%
17 2.8%
16 0.6%
15 0.2%
OVERALL 27.2%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.3% 0.9%
2 0.8% 0.4%
3 1.3% 0.2%
4 1.8% 0.1%
5 2.2% 0.1%
6 2.6% 0.1%
7 3.0% 0.1%
8 3.2% 0.0%
9 3.3% 0.0%
10 3.1% 0.0%
11 2.8% 0.0%
12 2.1% 0.0%
13 0.5% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.