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Make Tournament

84.3%

Automatic Bid

20.0%

At Large Bid

64.3%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (9.4%)

Final Four

7.3%

NCAA Champs

1.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
7 100.0%
6 100.0%
5 100.0%
4 99.8%
3 95.1%
2 61.6%
OVERALL 84.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.6% 6.3%
2 6.7% 3.9%
3 6.8% 2.6%
4 8.6% 2.1%
5 9.4% 1.3%
6 8.3% 1.1%
7 6.5% 0.8%
8 5.3% 0.8%
9 4.5% 0.7%
10 4.0% 0.6%
11 4.0% 0.5%
12 4.9% 0.5%
13 4.2% 0.4%
14 3.2% 0.3%
15 1.7% 0.3%
16 0.6% 0.1%
OVERALL 1.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.