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Make Tournament

84.5%

Automatic Bid

47.6%

At Large Bid

36.9%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (9.6%)

Final Four

4.1%

NCAA Champs

0.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 99.9%
25 99.5%
24 98.7%
23 95.4%
22 85.6%
21 70.6%
20 49.1%
19 32.3%
18 13.2%
17 6.8%
16 2.2%
15 0.0%
OVERALL 84.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.6% 4.7%
2 3.1% 3.5%
3 6.2% 2.2%
4 8.3% 1.2%
5 9.4% 0.8%
6 9.6% 0.6%
7 9.4% 0.4%
8 8.9% 0.3%
9 8.2% 0.2%
10 7.3% 0.1%
11 6.3% 0.1%
12 5.2% 0.1%
13 1.7% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.