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Make Tournament

77.6%

Automatic Bid

8.0%

At Large Bid

69.6%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (10.4%)

Final Four

5.8%

NCAA Champs

0.9%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 99.8%
20 98.2%
19 89.2%
18 58.9%
17 18.8%
16 2.2%
15 0.1%
14 0.0%
13 0.0%
OVERALL 77.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.9% 4.5%
2 3.2% 2.8%
3 5.7% 1.9%
4 8.1% 1.4%
5 10.0% 1.1%
6 10.4% 0.9%
7 7.4% 0.6%
8 5.6% 0.5%
9 5.6% 0.4%
10 5.8% 0.4%
11 6.0% 0.3%
12 5.9% 0.2%
13 2.4% 0.2%
14 0.5% 0.2%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.9%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.