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Make Tournament

47.0%

Automatic Bid

7.6%

At Large Bid

39.3%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (5.0%)

Final Four

1.6%

NCAA Champs

0.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
12 100.0%
11 100.0%
10 100.0%
9 98.9%
8 90.3%
7 61.0%
6 22.5%
5 4.2%
4 0.2%
3 0.0%
OVERALL 47.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.6% 1.5%
2 2.6% 0.6%
3 3.7% 0.4%
4 4.6% 0.2%
5 5.0% 0.2%
6 4.9% 0.1%
7 4.7% 0.1%
8 4.2% 0.1%
9 3.8% 0.1%
10 3.3% 0.1%
11 3.0% 0.1%
12 2.9% 0.0%
13 1.7% 0.0%
14 0.8% 0.0%
15 0.2% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.