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Make Tournament

84.5%

Automatic Bid

10.6%

At Large Bid

73.9%

Most Likely Seed

#6 (13.3%)

Final Four

4.9%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.7%
21 96.7%
20 80.0%
19 41.5%
18 11.6%
17 1.4%
16 0.1%
15 0.0%
14 0.0%
OVERALL 84.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.1% 2.7%
2 6.5% 1.6%
3 8.8% 1.0%
4 10.6% 0.7%
5 12.5% 0.5%
6 13.3% 0.3%
7 9.5% 0.2%
8 5.4% 0.2%
9 4.0% 0.1%
10 3.4% 0.2%
11 3.2% 0.1%
12 2.9% 0.1%
13 1.1% 0.1%
14 0.2% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.