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Make Tournament

55.1%

Automatic Bid

4.3%

At Large Bid

50.9%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (9.5%)

Final Four

3.1%

NCAA Champs

0.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 99.9%
16 99.9%
15 98.7%
14 93.3%
13 69.6%
12 26.3%
11 5.1%
10 0.4%
OVERALL 55.1%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.0% 5.9%
2 2.0% 2.9%
3 2.5% 2.0%
4 2.9% 1.3%
5 3.3% 0.9%
6 3.7% 0.7%
7 4.1% 0.5%
8 4.5% 0.4%
9 5.0% 0.3%
10 5.8% 0.2%
11 7.2% 0.1%
12 9.5% 0.1%
13 3.2% 0.0%
14 0.3% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.