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Make Tournament

55.6%

Automatic Bid

5.4%

At Large Bid

50.2%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (6.1%)

Final Four

3.9%

NCAA Champs

0.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 99.0%
16 97.1%
15 85.0%
14 58.4%
13 27.0%
12 7.0%
11 0.8%
10 0.2%
OVERALL 55.6%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 2.9% 4.8%
2 3.7% 2.4%
3 4.1% 1.5%
4 4.2% 0.9%
5 4.1% 0.8%
6 4.2% 0.6%
7 4.2% 0.4%
8 4.3% 0.3%
9 4.4% 0.2%
10 4.6% 0.2%
11 5.1% 0.2%
12 6.1% 0.1%
13 3.1% 0.1%
14 0.6% 0.0%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.