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Make Tournament

68.5%

Automatic Bid

7.0%

At Large Bid

61.5%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (7.7%)

Final Four

5.8%

NCAA Champs

1.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.8%
17 98.7%
16 92.1%
15 72.1%
14 40.0%
13 7.8%
12 0.6%
OVERALL 68.5%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.9% 4.6%
2 7.7% 2.4%
3 7.7% 1.5%
4 7.7% 0.9%
5 7.4% 0.6%
6 7.0% 0.4%
7 6.4% 0.3%
8 5.7% 0.2%
9 4.8% 0.2%
10 3.8% 0.1%
11 2.8% 0.1%
12 1.5% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.